activity
20142026
most citedReconstructing past temperatures from natural proxies and estimated climate forcings using short- and long-memory models

30 citations · 94 across the 18 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

20 papers

stat.AP2026

Bayesian calibration of adaptive-behavior SIR models for multi-wave COVID-19 incidence in New York City

Luis A. Barboza, Carlos Pasquier, Baltazar Espinoza +1

Epidemic incidence reflects both transmission dynamics and adaptive human behavior, yet these mechanisms may be difficult to distinguish from aggregate case data alone. We calibrat…

stat.ME2025

Amortized Bayesian Inference for Spatio-Temporal Extremes: A Copula Factor Model with Autoregression

Carlos A. Pasquier, Luis A. Barboza

We develop a Bayesian spatio-temporal framework for extreme-value analysis that augments a hierarchical copula model with an autoregressive factor to capture residual temporal depe…

physics.ao-ph2023★ 1 cited

Comparison of indicators to evaluate the performance of climate models

Mario J. Gómez, Luis A. Barboza, Hugo G. Hidalgo +1

The evaluation of climate models is a crucial step in climate studies. It consists of quantifying the resemblance of model outputs to reference data to identify models with superio…

stat.AP2023★ 11 cited

Bayesian spatio-temporal model with INLA for dengue fever risk prediction in Costa Rica

Shu-Wei Chou-Chen, Luis A. Barboza, Paola Vásquez +4

Due to the rapid geographic spread of the Aedes mosquito and the increase in dengue incidence, dengue fever has been an increasing concern for public health authorities in tropical…

q-bio.PE2023

Common patterns between dengue cases, climate, and local environmental variables in Costa Rica: A Wavelet Approach

Yury E. Garcia, Shu-Wei Chou-Chen, Luis A. Barboza +6

Throughout history, prevention and control of dengue transmission have challenged public health authorities worldwide. In the last decades, the interaction of multiple factors, suc…

stat.AP2022

Spatio-temporal Downscaling Emulator for Regional Climate Models: a Comparative Study

Luis A. Barboza, Shu Wei Chou Chen, Marcela Alfaro Córdoba +2

Regional Climate Models (RCM) describe the meso scale global atmospheric and oceanic dynamics and serve as dynamical downscaling models. In other words, RCMs use atmospheric and oc…

cs.CY2022★ 1 cited

Assessing dengue fever risk in Costa Rica by using climate variables and machine learning techniques

Luis A. Barboza, Shu-Wei Chou, Paola Vásquez +4

Dengue fever is a vector-borne disease mostly endemic to tropical and subtropical countries that affect millions every year and is considered a significant burden for public health…

stat.AP2021★ 9 cited

The Role of SARS-CoV-2 Testing on Hospitalizations in California

J. Cricelio Montesinos-López, Maria L. Daza-Torres, Yury E. García +5

The rapid spread of the new SARS-CoV-2 virus triggered a global health crisis disproportionately impacting people with pre-existing health conditions and particular demographic and…

q-bio.PE2021

Projecting the Impact of Covid-19 Variants and Vaccination Strategies in Disease Transmission using a Multilayer Network Model in Costa Rica

Yury E. García, Gustavo Mery, Paola Vásquez +4

For countries starting to receive steady supplies of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, the course of Covid-19 for the following months will be determined by the emergence of new variant…

physics.soc-ph2021

A multilayer network model of Covid-19: implications in public health policy in Costa Rica

Fabio Sanchez, Juan G. Calvo, Gustavo Mery +5

Successful partnerships between researchers, experts and public health authorities has been critical to navigate the challenges of the Covid-19 pandemic worldwide. In Costa Rica, w…

q-bio.PE2021★ 1 cited

Wavelet Analysis of Dengue Incidence and its Correlation with Weather and Vegetation Variables in Costa Rica

Yury E. García, Luis A. Barboza, Fabio Sanchez +2

Dengue represents a serious public health problem in tropical and subtropical regions worldwide. The number of dengue cases and its geographical expansion has increased in recent d…

physics.soc-ph2021★ 2 cited

A Multilayer Network Model implementation for Covid-19

Juan G. Calvo, Fabio Sanchez, Luis A. Barboza +2

We present a numerical implementation for a multilayer network used to model the transmission of Covid-19 or other diseases with a similar transmission mechanism. The model incorpo…

stat.AP2021★ 1 cited

The role of mobility and sanitary measures on Covid-19 in Costa Rica, March through July 2020

Luis A. Barboza, Paola Vásquez, Gustavo Mery +5

The aim of this paper is to infer the effects that changes on human mobility had on the transmission dynamics during the first four months of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Costa Rica,…

stat.ML2019

Climate-driven statistical models as effective predictors of local dengue incidence in Costa Rica: A Generalized Additive Model and Random Forest approach

Paola Vásquez, Antonio Loría, Fabio Sanchez +1

Climate has been an important factor in shaping the distribution and incidence of dengue cases in tropical and subtropical countries. In Costa Rica, a tropical country with distinc…

q-bio.PE2018★ 12 cited

Parameter estimates of the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak in Costa Rica: An Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) Approach

Fabio Sanchez, Luis Barboza, Paola Vasquez

In Costa Rica, the first known cases of Zika were reported in 2016. We looked at the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak and explored the transmission dynamics using weekly reported data. A no…

stat.AP2018

Efficient Reconstructions of Common Era Climate via Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations

Luis A. Barboza, Julien Emile-Geay, Bo Li +1

Paleoclimate reconstruction on the Common Era (1-2000AD) provide critical context for recent warming trends. This work leverages integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA) to…

q-bio.PE2017★ 26 cited

Infection model for analyzing biological control of coffee rust using bacterial anti-fungal compounds

Jorge Arroyo Esquivel, Fabio Sanchez, Luis Barboza

Coffee rust is one of the main diseases that affect coffee plantations worldwide. This causes an important economic impact in the coffee production industry in countries where coff…

q-bio.PE2017

Comparative Analysis of Dengue versus Chikungunya Outbreaks in Costa Rica

Fabio Sanchez, Luis A. Barboza, David Burton +1

For decades, dengue virus has been a cause of major public health concern in Costa Rica, due to its landscape and climatic conditions that favor the circumstances in which the vect…

math.ST2016

Parameter Estimation of Gaussian Stationary Processes using the Generalized Method of Moments

Luis A. Barboza, Frederi G. Viens

We consider the class of all stationary Gaussian process with explicit parametric spectral density. Under some conditions on the autocovariance function, we defined a GMM estimator…

stat.AP2014★ 30 cited

Reconstructing past temperatures from natural proxies and estimated climate forcings using short- and long-memory models

Luis Barboza, Bo Li, Martin P. Tingley +1

We produce new reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere annually averaged temperature anomalies back to 1000 AD, and explore the effects of including external climate forcings within…