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20132026
most citedRobust model selection between population growth and multiple merger coalescents

32 citations · 123 across the 25 of their papers we have counts for

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10 papers · 1 filter

math.PR2026

Well-posedness for Wright--Fisher SPDEs with measurable drift

Jere Koskela, Oliver Tough

We prove weak existence and uniqueness in law of -valued solutions for a class of scalar stochastic heat equations with measurable drifts , driven…

math.PR2025

A debiased Bernoulli factory and unbiased estimation of a probability

Jere Koskela, Toni Karvonen, Krzysztof Łatuszyński +1

Given a known function and a random but almost surely finite number of independent, Ber-distributed random variables with unknown , we pr…

math.PR2025

Multi-type -coalescents from structured population models with bottlenecks

Marta Dai Pra, Alison Etheridge, Jere Koskela +1

We introduce an individual-based model for structured populations undergoing demographic bottlenecks, i.e. drastic reductions in population size that last many generations and can…

math.PR2024

Genealogical processes of sequential Monte Carlo methods and other non-neutral population models under rapid mutation

Jere Koskela, Paul A. Jenkins, Adam M. Johansen +1

We show that genealogical trees arising from a broad class of non-neutral models of population evolution converge to the Kingman coalescent under a suitable rescaling of time. As w…

math.PR2023

Excursion theory for the Wright-Fisher diffusion

Paul A. Jenkins, Jere Koskela, Victor M. Rivero +3

In this work, we develop excursion theory for the Wright--Fisher diffusion with mutation. Our construction is intermediate between the classical excursion theory where all excursio…

math.PR2023

Bernoulli factories and duality in Wright-Fisher and Allen-Cahn models of population genetics

Jere Koskela, Krzysztof Łatuszyński, Dario Spanò

Mathematical models of genetic evolution often come in pairs, connected by a so-called duality relation. The most seminal example are the Wright-Fisher diffusion and the Kingman co…

math.PR2021

Weak Convergence of Non-neutral Genealogies to Kingman's Coalescent

Suzie Brown, Paul A. Jenkins, Adam M. Johansen +1

Interacting particle systems undergoing repeated mutation and selection steps model genetic evolution, and also describe a broad class of sequential Monte Carlo methods. The geneal…

math.PR2020

Diffusion Limits at Small Times for Coalescent Processes with Mutation and Selection

Philip A. Hanson, Paul A. Jenkins, Jere Koskela +1

The Ancestral Selection Graph (ASG) is an important genealogical process which extends the well-known Kingman coalescent to incorporate natural selection. We show that the number o…

math.PR2020

Convergence of Likelihood Ratios and Estimators for Selection in non-neutral Wright-Fisher Diffusions

Jaromir Sant, Paul A. Jenkins, Jere Koskela +1

A number of discrete time, finite population size models in genetics describing the dynamics of allele frequencies are known to converge (subject to suitable scaling) to a diffusio…

math.PR2013★ 14 cited

Computational inference beyond Kingman's coalescent

Jere Koskela, Paul A. Jenkins, Dario Spano

Full likelihood inference under Kingman's coalescent is a computationally challenging problem to which importance sampling (IS) and the product of approximate conditionals (PAC) me…