17 citations · 26 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Real-time modelling of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in England 2020-2023: a challenging data integration
Paul J Birrell, Joshua Blake, Joel Kandiah +12
A central pillar of the UK's response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic was the provision of up-to-the moment nowcasts and short term projections to monitor current trends in transmission…
Evaluating the impact of local tracing partnerships on the performance of contact tracing for COVID-19 in England
Pantelis Samartsidis, Shaun R. Seaman, Abbie Harrison +7
Assessing the impact of an intervention using time-series observational data on multiple units and outcomes is a frequent problem in many fields of scientific research. In this pap…
Bayesian forecasting of mortality rates using latent Gaussian models
Angelos Alexopoulos, Petros Dellaportas, Jonathan J. Forster
We provide forecasts for mortality rates by using two different approaches. First we employ dynamic non-linear logistic models based on Heligman-Pollard formula. Second, we assume…