2 papers
stat.AP2026
Age-specific demographic modeling and forecasting: Rolling window, expanding window, or both?
Sizhe Chen, Han Lin Shang
Rolling and expanding windows are widely used in age-specific demographic modeling and forecasting. Building on these approaches, we propose a simple combination method that assign…
stat.AP2024
Is the age pension in Australia sustainable and fair? Evidence from forecasting the old-age dependency ratio using the Hamilton-Perry model
Sizhe Chen, Han Lin Shang, Yang Yang
The age pension aims to assist eligible elderly Australians meet specific age and residency criteria in maintaining basic living standards. In designing efficient pension systems,…