2 papers
stat.AP2019
Discovering a Regularity: the Case of An 800-year Law of Advances in Small-Arms Technologies
Alexander Kott, Philip Perconti, Nandi Leslie
Considering a broad family of technologies where a measure of performance (MoP) is difficult or impossible to formulate, we seek an alternative measure that exhibits a regular patt…
cs.CY2018
Long-Term Forecasts of Military Technologies for a 20-30 Year Horizon: An Empirical Assessment of Accuracy
Alexander Kott, Philip Perconti
During the 1990s, while exploring the impact of the collapse of the Soviet Union on developments in future warfare, a number of authors offered forecasts of military technology app…