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cs.AI2026
Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs
Kevin Murphy
We present the Bayesian Linguistic Forecaster (BLF), an agentic system for binary forecasting that achieves state-of-the-art performance on the ForecastBench benchmark. The system…
cs.AI2025
Code World Models for General Game Playing
Wolfgang Lehrach, Daniel Hennes, Miguel Lazaro-Gredilla +13
Large Language Models (LLMs) reasoning abilities are increasingly being applied to classical board and card games, but the dominant approach -- involving prompting for direct move…