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econ.EM2025
A Real-Time Framework for Forecasting Metal Prices
Andrea Bastianin, Luca Rossini, Lorenzo Tonni
This paper develops a real-time forecasting framework for the monthly real prices of four key industrial metals -- aluminum, copper, nickel, and zinc -- whose demand is rising due…
stat.ME2025
A comparison between initialization strategies for the infinite hidden Markov model
Federico P. Cortese, Luca Rossini
Infinite hidden Markov models provide a flexible framework for modeling time-series with structural changes and complex dynamics, without requiring the number of latent states to b…