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stat.AP2019
Forecasting Fertility with Parametric Mixture Models
Jason Hilton, Erengul Dodd, Jonathan J. Forster +2
This paper sets out a forecasting method that employs a mixture of parametric functions to capture the pattern of fertility with respect to age. The overall level of cohort fertili…
stat.AP2018
Projecting UK Mortality using Bayesian Generalised Additive Models
Jason Hilton, Erengul Dodd, Jonathan J. Forster +1
Forecasts of mortality provide vital information about future populations, with implications for pension and health-care policy as well as for decisions made by private companies a…