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physics.data-an2022★ 11 cited
A Note on A Priori Forecasting and Simplicity Bias in Time Series
Kamaludin Dingle, Rafiq Kamal, Boumediene Hamzi
To what extent can we forecast a time series without fitting to historical data? Can universal patterns of probability help in this task? Deep relations between pattern Kolmogorov…
physics.data-an2019
Generic predictions of output probability based on complexities of inputs and outputs
Kamaludin Dingle, Guillermo Valle Pérez, Ard A. Louis
For a broad class of input-output maps, arguments based on the coding theorem from algorithmic information theory (AIT) predict that simple (low Kolmogorov complexity) outputs are…