activity
20182026
most citedA Framework for Causal Discovery in non-intervenable systems

10 citations · 27 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

11 papers

stat.ME2026

Copula Active Subspaces II: Error Decomposition, A Posteriori Estimation, and Sharpness of the Bounds

Joshua Chen, Peter Jan van Leeuwen

The Copula Active Subspaces (CAS) method of Part I estimates a non-Gaussian observation-noise density from residual samples. Its KL divergence $\mathcal{D}_{\m…

stat.ME2026

Copula Active Subspaces I: A Score-Covariance Method for Reduced-Order Non-Gaussian Density Estimation

Joshua Chen, Peter Jan van Leeuwen

In Bayesian inference problems with non-Gaussian observation noise, the posterior is only as accurate as the noise density, and gradient-based samplers need that density and its gr…

math.NA2026

From Variational Optimization to Flow-Based Transport: Posterior-Geometry Regularization for Ill-Conditioned Data Assimilation

Siming Liang, Feng Bao, Hristo G. Chipilski +2

Variational data assimilation computes a Bayesian update through optimization on a fixed posterior geometry, whose conditioning is determined by the prior covariance and the observ…

math.DS2023

Noise calibration for the stochastic rotating shallow water model

Dan Crisan, Oana Lang, Alexander Lobbe +2

Stochastic partial differential equations have been used in a variety of contexts to model the evolution of uncertain dynamical systems. In recent years, their applications to geop…

stat.AP2022★ 4 cited

Particle Filtering and Gaussian Mixtures -- On a Localized Mixture Coefficients Particle Filter (LMCPF) for global NWP

Anne Rojahn, Nora Schenk, Peter Jan van Leeuwen +1

In a global numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling framework we study the implementation of Gaussian uncertainty of individual particles into the assimilation step of a locali…

math.NA2021

Bayesian Inference for Fluid Dynamics: A Case Study for the Stochastic Rotating Shallow Water Model

Peter Jan van Leeuwen, Dan Crisan, Oana Lang +1

In this work, we use a tempering-based adaptive particle filter to infer from a partially observed stochastic rotating shallow water (SRSW) model which has been derived using the S…

astro-ph.IM2021

Using Mutual Information to measure Time-lags from non-linear processes in Astronomy

Nachiketa Chakraborty, Peter Jan van Leeuwen

Measuring time lags between time-series or lighcurves at different wavelengths from a variable or transient source in astronomy is an essential probe of physical mechanisms causing…

stat.ME2020★ 10 cited

A Framework for Causal Discovery in non-intervenable systems

Peter Jan van Leeuwen, Michael DeCaria, Nachiketa Chakaborty +1

Many frameworks exist to infer cause and effect relations in complex nonlinear systems but a complete theory is lacking. A new framework is presented that is fully nonlinear, provi…

stat.ME2020★ 5 cited

Ensemble Riemannian Data Assimilation over the Wasserstein Space

Sagar K. Tamang, Ardeshir Ebtehaj, Peter J. Van Leeuwen +2

In this paper, we present an ensemble data assimilation paradigm over a Riemannian manifold equipped with the Wasserstein metric. Unlike the Eulerian penalization of error in the E…

stat.CO2019

Massively Parallel Implicit Equal-Weights Particle Filter for Ocean Drift Trajectory Forecasting

Håvard Heitlo Holm, Martin Lilleeng Sætra, Peter Jan van Leeuwen

Forecasting ocean drift trajectories are important for many applications, including search and rescue operations, oil spill cleanup and iceberg risk mitigation. In an operational s…

stat.ML2018★ 8 cited

Kernel embedding of maps for sequential Bayesian inference: The variational mapping particle filter

Manuel Pulido, Peter Jan vanLeeuwen

In this work, a novel sequential Monte Carlo filter is introduced which aims at efficient sampling of high-dimensional state spaces with a limited number of particles. Particles ar…