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econ.TH2026
Limited belief propagation and contingent thinking
Andrew Ellis, Ran Spiegler
An agent updates her beliefs over a set of variables after observing some of them. We provide a representation of updated beliefs that captures limited propagation of her observati…
econ.TH2019★ 1 cited
Cheating with (Recursive) Models
Kfir Eliaz, Ran Spiegler, Yair Weiss
To what extent can agents with misspecified subjective models predict false correlations? We study an "analyst" who utilizes models that take the form of a recursive system of line…