96 citations · 113 across the 12 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
How time and pollster history affect U.S. election forecasts under a compartmental modeling approach
Ryan Branstetter, Samuel Chian, Joseph Cromp +8
In the months leading up to political elections in the United States, forecasts are widespread and take on multiple forms, including projections of what party will win the popular…
A primer on data-driven modeling of complex social systems
Alexandria Volkening
Traffic jams on roadways, echo chambers on social media, crowds of moving pedestrians, and opinion dynamics during elections are all complex social systems. These applications may…
How do classroom-turnover times depend on lecture-hall size?
Joseph Benson, Mariya Bessonov, Korana Burke +4
Academic spaces in colleges and universities span classrooms for 10 students to lecture halls that hold over 600 people. During the break between consecutive classes, students from…
Forecasting elections using compartmental models of infection
Alexandria Volkening, Daniel F. Linder, Mason A. Porter +1
Forecasting elections -- a challenging, high-stakes problem -- is the subject of much uncertainty, subjectivity, and media scrutiny. To shed light on this process, we develop a met…