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20122026
most citedDynamic Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Time Series Forecasting

117 citations · 191 across the 25 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing econ.EMShow all

5 papers · 1 filter

econ.EM2023

Asymptotically Unbiased Synthetic Control Methods by Moment Matching

Masahiro Kato, Akari Ohda

Synthetic Control Methods (SCMs) have become a fundamental tool for comparative case studies. The core idea behind SCMs is to estimate treatment effects by predicting counterfactua…

econ.EM2021★ 3 cited

Policy Choice and Best Arm Identification: Asymptotic Analysis of Exploration Sampling

Kaito Ariu, Masahiro Kato, Junpei Komiyama +2

We consider the "policy choice" problem -- otherwise known as best arm identification in the bandit literature -- proposed by Kasy and Sautmann (2021) for adaptive experimental des…

econ.EM2021

Learning Causal Models from Conditional Moment Restrictions by Importance Weighting

Masahiro Kato, Masaaki Imaizumi, Kenichiro McAlinn +2

We consider learning causal relationships under conditional moment restrictions. Unlike causal inference under unconditional moment restrictions, conditional moment restrictions po…

econ.EM2021

Convergence of Computed Dynamic Models with Unbounded Shock

Kenichiro McAlinn, Kosaku Takanashi

This paper studies the asymptotic convergence of computed dynamic models when the shock is unbounded. Most dynamic economic models lack a closed-form solution. As such, approximate…

econ.EM2019

Mean-shift least squares model averaging

Kenichiro McAlinn, Kosaku Takanashi

This paper proposes a new estimator for selecting weights to average over least squares estimates obtained from a set of models. Our proposed estimator builds on the Mallows model…