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Variance-based sensitivity analysis: The quest for better estimators and designs between explorativity and economy
Samuele Lo Piano, Federico Ferretti, Arnald Puy +2
Variance-based sensitivity indices have established themselves as a reference among practitioners of sensitivity analysis of model outputs. A variance-based sensitivity analysis ty…
Unpacking uncertainty in the modelling process for energy policy making
Samuele Lo Piano, Máté János Lőrincz, Arnald Puy +4
This paper explores how the modelling of energy systems may lead to undue closure of alternatives by generating an excess of certainty around some of the possible policy options. W…
Is VARS more intuitive and efficient than Sobol' indices?
Arnald Puy, Samuele Lo Piano, Andrea Saltelli
The Variogram Analysis of Response Surfaces (VARS) has been proposed by Razavi and Gupta as a new comprehensive framework in sensitivity analysis. According to these authors, VARS…
A sensitivity analysis of the PAWN sensitivity index
Arnald Puy, Samuele Lo Piano, Andrea Saltelli
The PAWN index is gaining traction among the modelling community as a sensitivity measure. However, the robustness to its design parameters has not yet been scrutinized: the size (…