activity
20172023
most citedWhen Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts

222 citations · 277 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

cs.LG2023★ 4 cited

Arbitrariness and Social Prediction: The Confounding Role of Variance in Fair Classification

A. Feder Cooper, Katherine Lee, Madiha Zahrah Choksi +6

Variance in predictions across different trained models is a significant, under-explored source of error in fair binary classification. In practice, the variance on some data examp…

cs.CY2022★ 22 cited

Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

Baobao Zhang, Noemi Dreksler, Markus Anderljung +4

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) are shaping modern life, from transportation, health care, science, finance, to national defense. Forecasts of AI development could help im…

cs.CY2021★ 12 cited

Ethics and Governance of Artificial Intelligence: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

Baobao Zhang, Markus Anderljung, Lauren Kahn +3

Machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) researchers play an important role in the ethics and governance of AI, including taking action against what they perceive to…

cs.CY2021★ 6 cited

Skilled and Mobile: Survey Evidence of AI Researchers' Immigration Preferences

Remco Zwetsloot, Baobao Zhang, Noemi Dreksler +4

Countries, companies, and universities are increasingly competing over top-tier artificial intelligence (AI) researchers. Where are these researchers likely to immigrate and what a…

cs.CY2019★ 11 cited

U.S. Public Opinion on the Governance of Artificial Intelligence

Baobao Zhang, Allan Dafoe

Artificial intelligence (AI) has widespread societal implications, yet social scientists are only beginning to study public attitudes toward the technology. Existing studies find t…

cs.AI2017★ 222 cited

When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts

Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe +2

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, science, finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to bett…