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best-of-n sampling 1confidence scoring 1large language models 1reasoning chains 1zero-shot evaluation 1

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cs.LG2025

Advancing Event Forecasting through Massive Training of Large Language Models: Challenges, Solutions, and Broader Impacts

Sang-Woo Lee, Sohee Yang, Donghyun Kwak +1

Many recent papers have studied the development of superforecaster-level event forecasting LLMs. While methodological problems with early studies cast doubt on the use of LLMs for…