activity
20192026
most citedModel-based ROC (mROC) curve: examining the effect of case-mix and model calibration on the ROC plot

32 citations · 86 across the 23 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing stat.APShow all

9 papers · 1 filter

stat.AP2026

Value-of-Information Analysis for External Validation of Risk Prediction Models in Multicenter Studies and Systematic Reviews

Laure Wynants, Kim Zhipei Wang, Sabine Grimm +5

External validation studies have finite sample sizes, creating uncertainty about whether a prediction model's Net Benefit (NB) exceeds default strategies' NB. The expected value of…

stat.AP2025

Transportability of Prognostic Markers: Rethinking Common Practices through a Sufficient-Component-Cause Perspective

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Gavin Pereira, Wenjia Chen

Transportability, the ability to maintain performance across populations, is a desirable property of markers of clinical outcomes. However, empirical findings indicate that markers…

stat.AP2025★ 3 cited

Bayesian sample size calculations for external validation studies of risk prediction models

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Paul Gustafson, Solmaz Setayeshgar +2

Contemporary sample size calculations for external validation of risk prediction models require users to specify fixed values of assumed model performance metrics alongside target…

stat.AP2024★ 5 cited

The expected value of sample information calculations for external validation of risk prediction models

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Andrew J Vickers, Tae Yoon Lee +2

In designing external validation studies of clinical prediction models, contemporary sample size calculation methods are based on the frequentist inferential paradigm. One of the w…

stat.AP2022★ 14 cited

Value of Information Analysis for External Validation of Risk Prediction Models

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Tae Yoon Lee, Laure Wynants +2

Background: Before being used to inform patient care, a risk prediction model needs to be validated in a representative sample from the target population. The finite size of the va…

stat.AP2021★ 2 cited

Minding non-collapsibility of odds ratios when recalibrating risk prediction models

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Hamid Tavakoli, Abdollah Safari

In clinical prediction modeling, model updating refers to the practice of modifying a prediction model before it is used in a new setting. In the context of logistic regression for…

stat.AP2021★ 15 cited

Uncertainty and Value of Information in Risk Prediction Modeling

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Tae Yoon Lee, Paul Gustafson

Background: Due to the finite size of the development sample, predicted probabilities from a risk prediction model are inevitably uncertain. We apply Value of Information methodolo…

stat.AP2020

Concentration of Benefit index: A threshold-free summary metric for quantifying the capacity of covariates to yield efficient treatment rules

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Paul Gustafson

When data on treatment assignment, outcomes, and covariates from a randomized trial are available, a question of interest is to what extent covariates can be used to optimize treat…

stat.AP2019

A threshold-free summary index for quantifying the capacity of covariates to yield efficient treatment rules

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Mohammad Mansournia, Paul Gustafson

The focus of this paper is on quantifying the capacity of covariates in devising efficient treatment rules when data from a randomized trial are available. Conventional one-variabl…