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A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. IV. Evaluating Consecutive-Day Forecasting Patterns
Sung-Hong Park, K. D. Leka, Kanya Kusano +21
A crucial challenge to successful flare prediction is forecasting periods that transition between "flare-quiet" and "flare-active". Building on earlier studies in this series (Barn…
A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. III. Systematic Behaviors of Operational Solar Flare Forecasting Systems
K. D. Leka, Sung-Hong Park, Kanya Kusano +21
A workshop was recently held at Nagoya University (31 October - 02 November 2017), sponsored by the Center for International Collaborative Research, at the Institute for Space-Eart…
A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. II. Benchmarks, Metrics and Performance Results for Operational Solar Flare Forecasting Systems
K. D. Leka, Sung-Hong Park, Kanya Kusano +21
Solar flares are extremely energetic phenomena in our Solar System. Their impulsive, often drastic radiative increases, in particular at short wavelengths, bring immediate impacts…
A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods, I: Results from the "All-Clear" Workshop
G. Barnes, K. D. Leka, C. J. Schrijver +15
Solar flares produce radiation which can have an almost immediate effect on the near-Earth environment, making it crucial to forecast flares in order to mitigate their negative eff…