activity
20202026
most citedA unified framework for dataset shift diagnostics

15 citations · 28 across the 19 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

22 papers

cs.AI2026

Few Trials, Many Metrics: Beta Mixtures for Low-Budget AI Evaluation

Gustavo Tironi, Felipe Maia Polo, Diego Mesquita

Evaluating a stochastic AI system often requires many repeated samples per instance, especially for metrics defined over long horizons. Recent work has shown that modeling instance…

cs.AI2026

Rich Insights from Cheap Signals: Efficient Evaluations via Tensor Factorization

Felipe Maia Polo, Aida Nematzadeh, Virginia Aglietti +2

Moving beyond evaluations that collapse performance across heterogeneous prompts toward fine-grained evaluation at the prompt level, or within relatively homogeneous subsets, is ne…

stat.AP2025

A Latent Variable Framework for Scaling Laws in Large Language Models

Peiyao Cai, Chengyu Cui, Felipe Maia Polo +6

We propose a statistical framework built on latent variable modeling for scaling laws of large language models (LLMs). Our work is motivated by the rapid emergence of numerous new…

cs.CL2025

COMET-poly: Machine Translation Metric Grounded in Other Candidates

Maike Züfle, Vilém Zouhar, Tu Anh Dinh +3

Automated metrics for machine translation attempt to replicate human judgment. Unlike humans, who often assess a translation in the context of multiple alternatives, these metrics…

cs.LG2025

Bridging Human and LLM Judgments: Understanding and Narrowing the Gap

Felipe Maia Polo, Xinhe Wang, Mikhail Yurochkin +3

Large language models are increasingly used as judges (LLM-as-a-judge) to evaluate model outputs at scale, but their assessments often diverge systematically from human judgments.…

cs.IR2025

Personalized Image Generation for Recommendations Beyond Catalogs

Gabriel Patron, Zhiwei Xu, Ishan Kapnadak +1

Personalization is central to human-AI interaction, yet current diffusion-based image generation systems remain largely insensitive to user diversity. Existing attempts to address…

stat.ML2025

CARROT: A Cost Aware Rate Optimal Router

Seamus Somerstep, Felipe Maia Polo, Allysson Flavio Melo de Oliveira +5

With the rapid growth in the number of Large Language Models (LLMs), there has been a recent interest in LLM routing, or directing queries to the cheapest LLM that can deliver a su…

cs.LG2024

Sloth: scaling laws for LLM skills to predict multi-benchmark performance across families

Felipe Maia Polo, Seamus Somerstep, Leshem Choshen +2

Scaling laws for large language models (LLMs) predict model performance based on parameters like size and training data. However, differences in training configurations and data pr…

stat.ML2024

Microfoundation Inference for Strategic Prediction

Daniele Bracale, Subha Maity, Felipe Maia Polo +3

Often in prediction tasks, the predictive model itself can influence the distribution of the target variable, a phenomenon termed performative prediction. Generally, this influence…

cs.CV2024

LiveXiv -- A Multi-Modal Live Benchmark Based on Arxiv Papers Content

Nimrod Shabtay, Felipe Maia Polo, Sivan Doveh +8

The large-scale training of multi-modal models on data scraped from the web has shown outstanding utility in infusing these models with the required world knowledge to perform effe…

cs.CL2024★ 3 cited

Efficient multi-prompt evaluation of LLMs

Felipe Maia Polo, Ronald Xu, Lucas Weber +6

Most popular benchmarks for comparing LLMs rely on a limited set of prompt templates, which may not fully capture the LLMs' abilities and can affect the reproducibility of results…

stat.ML2024

A transfer learning framework for weak-to-strong generalization

Seamus Somerstep, Felipe Maia Polo, Moulinath Banerjee +3

Modern large language model (LLM) alignment techniques rely on human feedback, but it is unclear whether these techniques fundamentally limit the capabilities of aligned LLMs. In p…

cs.CL2024★ 4 cited

tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examples

Felipe Maia Polo, Lucas Weber, Leshem Choshen +3

The versatility of large language models (LLMs) led to the creation of diverse benchmarks that thoroughly test a variety of language models' abilities. These benchmarks consist of…

stat.ML2023

Weak Supervision Performance Evaluation via Partial Identification

Felipe Maia Polo, Subha Maity, Mikhail Yurochkin +2

Programmatic Weak Supervision (PWS) enables supervised model training without direct access to ground truth labels, utilizing weak labels from heuristics, crowdsourcing, or pre-tra…

cs.LG2023★ 2 cited

Fusing Models with Complementary Expertise

Hongyi Wang, Felipe Maia Polo, Yuekai Sun +3

Training AI models that generalize across tasks and domains has long been among the open problems driving AI research. The emergence of Foundation Models made it easier to obtain e…

stat.ML2023

Conditional independence testing under misspecified inductive biases

Felipe Maia Polo, Yuekai Sun, Moulinath Banerjee

Conditional independence (CI) testing is a fundamental and challenging task in modern statistics and machine learning. Many modern methods for CI testing rely on powerful supervise…

stat.ML2022★ 15 cited

A unified framework for dataset shift diagnostics

Felipe Maia Polo, Rafael Izbicki, Evanildo Gomes Lacerda +2

Supervised learning techniques typically assume training data originates from the target population. Yet, in reality, dataset shift frequently arises, which, if not adequately take…

cs.CL2021

LegalNLP -- Natural Language Processing methods for the Brazilian Legal Language

Felipe Maia Polo, Gabriel Caiaffa Floriano Mendonça, Kauê Capellato J. Parreira +6

We present and make available pre-trained language models (Phraser, Word2Vec, Doc2Vec, FastText, and BERT) for the Brazilian legal language, a Python package with functions to faci…

stat.AP2021

Effects of personality traits in predicting grade retention of Brazilian students

Carmen Melo Toledo, Guilherme Mendes Bassedon, Jonathan Batista Ferreira +4

Student's grade retention is a key issue faced by many education systems, especially those in developing countries. In this paper, we seek to gauge the relevance of students' perso…

stat.ME2021

OCDE: Odds Conditional Density Estimator

Alex Akira Okuno, Felipe Maia Polo

Conditional density estimation (CDE) models can be useful for many statistical applications, especially because the full conditional density is estimated instead of traditional reg…

cs.CL2020★ 4 cited

Predicting Legal Proceedings Status: Approaches Based on Sequential Text Data

Felipe Maia Polo, Itamar Ciochetti, Emerson Bertolo

The objective of this paper is to develop predictive models to classify Brazilian legal proceedings in three possible classes of status: (i) archived proceedings, (ii) active proce…

stat.AP2020

Skills to not fall behind in school

Felipe Maia Polo

Many recent studies emphasize how important the role of cognitive and social-emotional skills can be in determining people's quality of life. Although skills are of great importanc…