activity
20202022
most citedCausal structure learning from time series: Large regression coefficients may predict causal links better in practice than small p-values

7 citations · 17 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

cs.LG2022★ 5 cited

Evaluating Robustness to Dataset Shift via Parametric Robustness Sets

Nikolaj Thams, Michael Oberst, David Sontag

We give a method for proactively identifying small, plausible shifts in distribution which lead to large differences in model performance. These shifts are defined via parametric c…

stat.ME2022★ 3 cited

Identifying Causal Effects using Instrumental Time Series: Nuisance IV and Correcting for the Past

Nikolaj Thams, Rikke Søndergaard, Sebastian Weichwald +1

Instrumental variable (IV) regression relies on instruments to infer causal effects from observational data with unobserved confounding. We consider IV regression in time series mo…

stat.ME2022

Invariant Ancestry Search

Phillip B. Mogensen, Nikolaj Thams, Jonas Peters

Recently, methods have been proposed that exploit the invariance of prediction models with respect to changing environments to infer subsets of the causal parents of a response var…

stat.ME2021

Local Independence Testing for Point Processes

Nikolaj Thams, Niels Richard Hansen

Constraint based causal structure learning for point processes require empirical tests of local independence. Existing tests require strong model assumptions, e.g. that the true da…

cs.LG2021

Invariant Policy Learning: A Causal Perspective

Sorawit Saengkyongam, Nikolaj Thams, Jonas Peters +1

Contextual bandit and reinforcement learning algorithms have been successfully used in various interactive learning systems such as online advertising, recommender systems, and dyn…

stat.ME2021★ 1 cited

Statistical Testing under Distributional Shifts

Nikolaj Thams, Sorawit Saengkyongam, Niklas Pfister +1

In this work, we introduce statistical testing under distributional shifts. We are interested in the hypothesis for a target distribution , but observe data from…

cs.LG2021★ 1 cited

Regularizing towards Causal Invariance: Linear Models with Proxies

Michael Oberst, Nikolaj Thams, Jonas Peters +1

We propose a method for learning linear models whose predictive performance is robust to causal interventions on unobserved variables, when noisy proxies of those variables are ava…

stat.ML2020★ 7 cited

Causal structure learning from time series: Large regression coefficients may predict causal links better in practice than small p-values

Sebastian Weichwald, Martin E Jakobsen, Phillip B Mogensen +3

In this article, we describe the algorithms for causal structure learning from time series data that won the Causality 4 Climate competition at the Conference on Neural Information…