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physics.comp-ph2026
Distillation and Interpretability of Ensemble Forecasts of ENSO Phase using Entropic Learning
Michael Groom, Davide Bassetti, Illia Horenko +1
This paper introduces a distillation framework for an ensemble of entropy-optimal Sparse Probabilistic Approximation (eSPA) models, trained exclusively on satellite-era observation…
physics.comp-ph2025
Entropic learning enables skilful forecasts of ENSO phase at up to two years lead time
Michael Groom, Davide Bassetti, Illia Horenko +1
This paper extends previous work (Groom et al., \emph{Artif. Intell. Earth Syst.}, 2024) in applying the entropy-optimal Sparse Probabilistic Approximation (eSPA) algorithm to pred…