works on

From the 1 of 6 linked papers with an AI index.

collaborators

6 papers

stat.ME2026

Extracting Bayesian Evidence from Frequentist p-Values

Frederik Aust, Samuel Pawel, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

The paper revisits Jeffreys's Approximate Bayes factor, showing how Bayesian evidence can be derived from frequentist p‑values using the effective sample size, and demonstrates its…

stat.ME2026

Efficient Bayes Factor Sensitivity Analysis via Posterior Density Ratios

František Bartoš, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Maarten Marsman +1

Bayes factor sensitivity analysis examines how the evidence for one hypothesis over another depends on the prior distribution. In complex models, the standard approach refits the m…

stat.ME2025

The Principle of Redundant Reflection

Martin Metodiev, Maarten Marsman, Lourens Waldorp +2

The fact that redundant information does not update a rational belief implies that rational beliefs are updated using Bayes rule. In the framework of Hild (1998a), this is true und…

stat.ME2025

Meta-Analysis with JASP, Part II: Bayesian Approaches

František Bartoš, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Bayesian inference is on the rise, partly because it allows researchers to quantify parameter uncertainty, evaluate evidence for competing hypotheses, incorporate model ambiguity,…

stat.ME2025

Meta-Analysis with JASP, Part I: Classical Approaches

FrantiÅ¡ek BartoÅ¡, František Bartoš, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers +1

Meta-analyses play a crucial part in empirical science, enabling researchers to synthesize evidence across studies and draw more precise and generalizable conclusions. Despite thei…

math.HO2025

Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: Evidence from 350,757 flips

František Bartoš, Alexandra Sarafoglou, Henrik R. Godmann +47

Many people have flipped coins but few have stopped to ponder the statistical and physical intricacies of the process. We collected coin flips to test the counterintuit…