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econ.EM2022
Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees
Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop +1
In light of widespread evidence of parameter instability in macroeconomic models, many time-varying parameter (TVP) models have been proposed. This paper proposes a nonparametric T…
econ.EM2022
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models
Todd E. Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop +1
The relationship between inflation and predictors such as unemployment is potentially nonlinear with a strength that varies over time, and prediction errors error may be subject to…