276 citations · 566 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
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A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters to model COVID- 19 burden
Agnese Zardini, Margherita Galli, Marcello Tirani +10
Solid estimates describing the clinical course of SARS-CoV-2 infections are still lacking due to under-ascertainment of asymptomatic and mild-disease cases. In this work, we quanti…
Infection fatality ratio of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy
Piero Poletti, Marcello Tirani, Danilo Cereda +13
We analyzed 5,484 close contacts of COVID-19 cases from Italy, all of them tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection. We found an infection fatality ratio of 2.2% (95%CI 1.69-2.81%) and iden…
Probability of symptoms and critical disease after SARS-CoV-2 infection
Piero Poletti, Marcello Tirani, Danilo Cereda +14
We quantified the probability of developing symptoms (respiratory or fever \geq 37.5 °C) and critical disease (requiring intensive care or resulting in death) of SARS-CoV-2 positiv…
The early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy
D Cereda, M Tirani, F Rovida +21
In the night of February 20, 2020, the first case of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was confirmed in the Lombardy Region, Italy. In the week that followed, Lombardy experienc…