4 papers · 1 filter
XGBoost meets INLA: a two-stage spatio-temporal forecasting of wildfires in Portugal
Chenglei Hu, Regina Baltazar Bispo, Håvard Rue +3
Wildfires pose a major threat to Portugal, with over 115,000 hectares burned annually on average during 1980-2024, and the country has faced devastating mega-fires such as those in…
On the importance of tail assumptions in climate extreme event attribution
Mengran Li, Daniela Castro-Camilo
Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense, posing serious threats to human life, biodiversity, and ecosystems. A key objective of extreme event attribution (EEA…
Spatio-temporal fusion of reanalysis and in situ data for censored threshold exceedances of PM2.5
M. Daniela Cuba, Craig Wilkie, Marian Scott +1
Data fusion models are widely used in air quality monitoring to integrate in situ and large-scale gridded products, offering spatially complete and temporally detailed estimates. H…
GPDFlow: Generative Multivariate Threshold Exceedance Modeling via Normalizing Flows
Chenglei Hu, Daniela Castro-Camilo
The multivariate generalized Pareto distribution (mGPD) is a common method for modeling extreme threshold exceedance probabilities in environmental and financial risk management. D…