activity
20202026
most citedThe mass gap, the spin gap, and the origin of merging binary black holes

81 citations · 462 across the 35 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

36 papers

astro-ph.HE2026

Dynamical pairing in gravitational wave populations

Fabio Antonini, Aleksandra Olejak, Isobel Romero-Shaw +1

Binary black holes formed dynamically in star clusters are often associated with nearly equal-mass pairing. We show that this expectation is incomplete. The more general prediction…

astro-ph.HE2026

Joint population and strong-lensing inference for resolved gravitational-wave events probes the black-hole merger rate beyond the peak of star formation

Matthew Mould

Gravitational waves can be lensed by intervening potentials of various scales. Strong lensing leads to underestimated distances and overestimated masses, biasing astrophysical resu…

gr-qc2026

End-to-End Population Inference from Gravitational-Wave Strain using Transformers

Konstantin Leyde, Stephen R. Green, Maximilian Dax +3

The population of compact binaries encodes information about their astrophysical origins and the expansion of the universe. Hierarchical Bayesian methods infer these properties by…

gr-qc2026

Gravitational-wave astronomy requires population-informed parameter estimation

Matthew Mould, Rodrigo Tenorio, Davide Gerosa

Gravitational-wave events are interpreted in terms of Bayesian posteriors for their source properties inferred under unphysical reference priors. Though these parameter estimates a…

astro-ph.HE2026

Variance of gravitational-wave populations

Alessia Corelli, Davide Gerosa, Matthew Mould +1

We quantify the impact of finite catalog size, or "catalog variance," on current gravitational-wave population analyses. The distribution of merging binary black holes is commonly…

astro-ph.IM2026

Neural Bayesian updates to populations with growing gravitational-wave catalogs

Noah E. Wolfe, Matthew Mould, John Veitch +1

As gravitational-wave catalogs grow, they will become increasingly computationally expensive to analyze in their entirety, especially when inferring astrophysical source population…

astro-ph.HE2026★ 1 cited

Measurement prospects for the pair-instability mass cutoff with gravitational waves

Matthew Mould, Jack Heinzel, Sofia Alvarez-Lopez +3

Pair-instability supernovae leave behind no compact remnants, resulting in a predicted gap in the distribution of stellar black-hole masses. Gravitational waves from binary black-h…

astro-ph.HE2025

Simulation-calibrated Bayesian inference for progenitor properties of the microquasar SS 433

Nathan Steinle, Matthew Mould, Sarah Al-Humaikani +3

SS433 is one of the most extreme Galactic X-ray binaries, launching semi-relativistic jets and showing clear signs of super-critical accretion onto what is likely a black hole.…

gr-qc2025★ 1 cited

Reducing systematic uncertainties in gravitational-wave population analyses by increasing the detection threshold

Noah E. Wolfe, Matthew Mould, Jack Heinzel +1

From catalogs of gravitational-wave transients, the population-level properties of their sources and the formation channels of merging compact binaries can be constrained. However,…

astro-ph.HE2025★ 14 cited

Evidence of the pair instability gap from black hole masses

Hui Tong, Maya Fishbach, Eric Thrane +13

Stellar theory predicts a forbidden range of black-hole masses between -- due to pair-instability supernovae, but evidence for such a gap in the mass distri…

gr-qc2025★ 2 cited

Comparing astrophysical models to gravitational-wave data in the observable space

Alexandre Toubiana, Davide Gerosa, Matthew Mould +9

Comparing population-synthesis models to the results of hierarchical Bayesian inference in gravitational-wave astronomy requires a careful understanding of the domain of validity o…

astro-ph.GA2025★ 1 cited

Black Hole - Neutron Star and Binary Neutron Star Mergers from Population III and II stars

Benedetta Mestichelli, Michela Mapelli, Filippo Santoliquido +9

Population III (Pop.III) stars are expected to be massive and to undergo minimal mass loss due to their lack of metals, making them ideal progenitors of black holes and neutron…

astro-ph.HE2025

The Long Road to Alignment: Measuring Black Hole Spin Orientation with Expanding Gravitational-Wave Datasets

Salvatore Vitale, Matthew Mould

Measuring the distribution of spin tilts-the angles between the spin vectors and the binary orbital angular momentum-in stellar-mass binary black holes detected by LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA…

gr-qc2025★ 1 cited

Constraining Population III stellar demographics with next-generation gravitational-wave observatories

Cailin Plunkett, Matthew Mould, Salvatore Vitale

Next-generation gravitational-wave observatories will reach farther into the universe than currently possible, revealing black-hole mergers from early stellar binary systems such a…

astro-ph.IM2025★ 11 cited

Rapid inference and comparison of gravitational-wave population models with neural variational posteriors

Matthew Mould, Noah E. Wolfe, Salvatore Vitale

The LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA catalog has been analyzed with an abundance of different population models due to theoretical uncertainty in the formation of gravitational-wave sources. To ex…

astro-ph.HE2025★ 7 cited

Reconstructing parametric gravitational-wave population fits from non-parametric results without refitting the data

Cecilia Maria Fabbri, Davide Gerosa, Alessandro Santini +3

Combining multiple events into population analyses is a cornerstone of gravitational-wave astronomy. A critical component of such studies is the assumed population model, which can…

gr-qc2024★ 6 cited

Which is which? Identification of the two compact objects in gravitational-wave binaries

Davide Gerosa, Viola De Renzis, Federica Tettoni +3

Compact objects observed in gravitational-wave astronomy so far always come in pairs and never individually. Identifying the two components of a binary system is a delicate operati…

astro-ph.HE2024★ 23 cited

Nonparametric analysis of correlations in the binary black hole population with LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA data

Jack Heinzel, Matthew Mould, Salvatore Vitale

Formation channels of merging compact binaries imprint themselves on the distributions and correlations of their source parameters, but current understanding of this population is…

astro-ph.HE2024★ 24 cited

PixelPop: High Resolution Nonparameteric Inference of Gravitational-Wave Populations in Multiple Dimensions

Jack Heinzel, Matthew Mould, Sofía Álvarez-López +1

The origins of merging compact binaries observed by gravitational-wave detectors remains highly uncertain. Several astrophysical channels may contribute to the overall merger rate,…

gr-qc2023★ 12 cited

Calibrating signal-to-noise ratio detection thresholds using gravitational-wave catalogs

Matthew Mould, Christopher J. Moore, Davide Gerosa

Searching for gravitational-wave signals is a challenging and computationally intensive endeavor undertaken by multiple independent analysis pipelines. While detection depends only…

astro-ph.HE2023★ 13 cited

One to many: comparing single gravitational-wave events to astrophysical populations

Matthew Mould, Davide Gerosa, Marco Dall'Amico +1

Gravitational-wave observations have revealed sources whose unusual properties challenge our understanding of compact-binary formation. Inferring the formation processes that are b…

astro-ph.HE2023

QLUSTER: quick clusters of merging binary black holes

Davide Gerosa, Matthew Mould

This short document illustrates QLUSTER: a toy model for populations of binary black holes in dense astrophysical environments. QLUSTER is a simple tool to investigate the occurren…

gr-qc2023★ 3 cited

Parameter estimation of binary black holes in the endpoint of the up-down instability

Viola De Renzis, Davide Gerosa, Matthew Mould +2

Black-hole binary spin precession admits equilibrium solutions corresponding to systems with (anti-) aligned spins. Among these, binaries in the up-down configuration, where the sp…

gr-qc2023★ 27 cited

Efficient multi-timescale dynamics of precessing black-hole binaries

Davide Gerosa, Giulia Fumagalli, Matthew Mould +4

We present analytical and numerical progress on black-hole binary spin precession at second post-Newtonian order using multi-timescale methods. In addition to the commonly used eff…