cross-impact balance 1energy transition 1linear response theory 1scenario analysis 1structural resilience 1
From the 1 of 3 linked papers with an AI index.
3 papers
econ.GN2026
Beyond Consistent Scenarios: Deriving Indirect Influence, Transition Resistance, and Adjustment Dynamics
Andrew G. Ross, Julia Gershenzon, Andreas Kleefeld
The paper extends Cross‑Impact Balance analysis with Linear Response Theory to quantify indirect influence, transition effort, adjustment dynamics, and resilience of socio‑technica…
physics.app-ph2026
From transient shocks to unexpected outcomes: disruptive drivers in scenario pathways
Andrew G. Ross
Scenario pathways (e.g. for the energy transition) often use a single trajectory or a band. That is not sufficient when one needs to understand why outcomes differ and under what s…
cs.CY2026
AI-Simulated Expert Panels for Socio-Technical Scenarios and Decision Guidance
Andrew G. Ross, Alan M. Ross
Socio-technical scenarios for net-zero and other transformation pathways combine qualitative storylines with quantitative models, embedding them in plausible societal contexts for…