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stat.AP2025
Modelling and short-term forecasting of seasonal mortality
Ainhoa-Elena Leger, Silvia Rizzi, Ugofilippo Basellini
Excess mortality, i.e. the difference between expected and observed mortality, is used to quantify the death toll of mortality shocks, such as infectious disease-related epidemics…
stat.AP2020
Assessing Excess Mortality in Times of Pandemics Based on Principal Component Analysis of Weekly Mortality Data -- The Case of COVID-19
Patrizio Vanella, Ugofilippo Basellini, Berit Lange
The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality ha…
stat.AP2020
Epilocal: a real-time tool for local epidemic monitoring
Marco Bonetti, Ugofilippo Basellini
We describe Epilocal, a simple R program designed to automatically download the most recent data on reported infected SARS-CoV-2 cases for all Italian provinces and regions, and to…