20 citations · 20 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
Characterising mortality dynamics across countries and time using a multi-stage clustering approach
Pedro Menezes de Araújo, Ugofilippo Basellini, Thomas Brendan Murphy +1
Comparative analyses of mortality dynamics across countries have long shaped our understanding of mortality inequalities and patterns of divergence and convergence over time. Howev…
Anticipating Continued Global Fertility Decline via Neural Forecasting
Daniel Ciganda, Facundo Morini, Francisco Piriz +3
The accelerating shift toward low and ultra-low fertility has intensified the debate over whether countries now undergoing rapid decline are approaching stabilization or entering a…
Modelling and short-term forecasting of seasonal mortality
Ainhoa-Elena Leger, Silvia Rizzi, Ugofilippo Basellini
Excess mortality, i.e. the difference between expected and observed mortality, is used to quantify the death toll of mortality shocks, such as infectious disease-related epidemics…
Assessing Excess Mortality in Times of Pandemics Based on Principal Component Analysis of Weekly Mortality Data -- The Case of COVID-19
Patrizio Vanella, Ugofilippo Basellini, Berit Lange
The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality ha…
Epilocal: a real-time tool for local epidemic monitoring
Marco Bonetti, Ugofilippo Basellini
We describe Epilocal, a simple R program designed to automatically download the most recent data on reported infected SARS-CoV-2 cases for all Italian provinces and regions, and to…