26 citations · 50 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
A statistical model to identify excess mortality in Italy in the period 2011-2022
Antonino Bella, Gianluca Bonifazi, Luca Lista +7
Excess mortality is defined as an increase in the number of deaths above what is expected based on historical trends, hereafter called baseline. In a previous paper, we introduced…
Increasing situational awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number
Andrea Bizzotto, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano +15
The time varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks, but delays between infection and reporting hinder its a…
Estimation of the incubation period and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Delta variants from contact tracing data
Mattia Manica, Maria Litvinova, Alfredo De Bellis +18
Background. During 2021, the COVID-19 pandemic was characterized by the emergence of lineages with increased fitness. For most of these variants, quantitative information is scarce…
The relationship between human mobility and viral transmissibility during the COVID-19 epidemics in Italy
Paolo Cintia, Luca Pappalardo, Salvatore Rinzivillo +29
In 2020, countries affected by the COVID-19 pandemic implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions to contrast the spread of the virus and its impact on their healthcare sys…
The impact of a nation-wide lockdown on COVID-19 transmissibility in Italy
Giorgio Guzzetta, Flavia Riccardo, Valentina Marziano +17
On March 10, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of COVID-19. Here we estimate that, fourteen days after the implementation of the strategy, the net repro…