276 citations · 617 across the 11 of their papers we have counts for
11 papers
Post-pandemic social contacts in Italy: implications for social distancing measures on in-person school and work attendance
Lorenzo Lucchini, Valentina Marziano, Filippo Trentini +10
The collection of updated data on social contact patterns following the COVID-19 pandemic disruptions is crucial for future epidemiological assessments and evaluating non-pharmaceu…
Increasing situational awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number
Andrea Bizzotto, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano +15
The time varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks, but delays between infection and reporting hinder its a…
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 transmission in educational settings: a retrospective cohort study
Mattia Manica, Piero Poletti, Silvia Deandrea +12
Background School closures and distance learning have been extensively applied to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Despite evidence of viral circulation in schools, the contributio…
Estimation of the incubation period and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Delta variants from contact tracing data
Mattia Manica, Maria Litvinova, Alfredo De Bellis +18
Background. During 2021, the COVID-19 pandemic was characterized by the emergence of lineages with increased fitness. For most of these variants, quantitative information is scarce…
Utilising urgent computing to tackle the spread of mosquito-borne diseases
Nick Brown, Rupert Nash, Piero Poletti +12
It is estimated that around 80\% of the world's population live in areas susceptible to at-least one major vector borne disease, and approximately 20% of global communicable diseas…
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters to model COVID- 19 burden
Agnese Zardini, Margherita Galli, Marcello Tirani +10
Solid estimates describing the clinical course of SARS-CoV-2 infections are still lacking due to under-ascertainment of asymptomatic and mild-disease cases. In this work, we quanti…
Infection fatality ratio of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy
Piero Poletti, Marcello Tirani, Danilo Cereda +13
We analyzed 5,484 close contacts of COVID-19 cases from Italy, all of them tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection. We found an infection fatality ratio of 2.2% (95%CI 1.69-2.81%) and iden…
Probability of symptoms and critical disease after SARS-CoV-2 infection
Piero Poletti, Marcello Tirani, Danilo Cereda +14
We quantified the probability of developing symptoms (respiratory or fever \geq 37.5 °C) and critical disease (requiring intensive care or resulting in death) of SARS-CoV-2 positiv…
The relationship between human mobility and viral transmissibility during the COVID-19 epidemics in Italy
Paolo Cintia, Luca Pappalardo, Salvatore Rinzivillo +29
In 2020, countries affected by the COVID-19 pandemic implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions to contrast the spread of the virus and its impact on their healthcare sys…
The impact of a nation-wide lockdown on COVID-19 transmissibility in Italy
Giorgio Guzzetta, Flavia Riccardo, Valentina Marziano +17
On March 10, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of COVID-19. Here we estimate that, fourteen days after the implementation of the strategy, the net repro…
The early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy
D Cereda, M Tirani, F Rovida +21
In the night of February 20, 2020, the first case of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was confirmed in the Lombardy Region, Italy. In the week that followed, Lombardy experienc…