activity
20122026
most citedAIFS -- ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system

75 citations · 220 across the 35 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

40 papers

physics.ao-ph2026

ClimateBench v2.0: Probabilistic Climate Model Benchmarking

Duncan Watson-Parris, Willa Tobin, Aytaç Paçal +32

We present ClimateBench v2, a standardized protocol for evaluating climate models on diagnostics expected to be informative for their skill in projecting mid-century regional tempe…

physics.ao-ph2026

HClimRep-Ocean: A Global Ocean Emulator on an Unstructured Mesh

Kacper Nowak, Aleksei Koldunov, Nikolay Koldunov +7

Machine-learning (ML) emulators for atmospheric processes have advanced rapidly in recent years, transforming weather forecasting. Although early ML ocean forecasting models now ex…

physics.ao-ph2026

HourGlass: A probabilistic data-driven temporal downscaler for global and regional weather forecasting

Magnus Sikora Ingstad, Mariana C. A. Clare, Olav Ersland +16

Many forecast applications require high frequency temporal resolution, yet most state-of-the-art data-driven weather forecasting systems operate at 6-hourly resolution. Although di…

physics.ao-ph2026

Evaluating Skill and Stability of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen under Multi-Decadal Climate Simulations

Renu Singh, Robert Brunstein, Antonia Jost +5

We evaluate the climate simulation capabilities of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen, two machine learning models originally trained for weather forecasting and evaluated up to a…

physics.ao-ph2026★ 1 cited

AIMIP Phase 1: systematic evaluations of AI weather and climate models

Brian Henn, Christopher S. Bretherton, Nikolay Koldunov +18

We present the AI weather and climate model intercomparison project (AIMIP), phase 1. Drawing from the rich tradition of intercomparisons in climate model development, we specify a…

physics.ao-ph2026

Representing the Surface Ocean in ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system AIFS

Sara Hahner, Lorenzo Zampieri, Jean-Raymond Bidlot +22

Machine-learning (ML) models, such as the AIFS at the ECMWF, have revolutionised weather forecasting in recent years. We present an extension of the AIFS that jointly models the at…

math.NA2026

A robust and stable hybrid neural network/finite element method for 2D flows that generalizes to different geometries

Robert Jendersie, Nils Margenberg, Christian Lessig +1

The deep neural network multigrid solver (DNN-MG) combines a coarse-grid finite element simulation with a deep neural network that corrects the solution on finer grid levels, there…

cs.LG2025

On Global Applicability and Location Transferability of Generative Deep Learning Models for Precipitation Downscaling

Paula Harder, Christian Lessig, Matthew Chantry +2

Deep learning offers promising capabilities for the statistical downscaling of climate and weather forecasts, with generative approaches showing particular success in capturing fin…

cs.CV2025

RainShift: A Benchmark for Precipitation Downscaling Across Geographies

Paula Harder, Luca Schmidt, Francis Pelletier +5

Earth System Models (ESM) are our main tool for projecting the impacts of climate change. However, running these models at sufficient resolution for local-scale risk-assessments is…

math.NA2025

Efficient implementation of high-order isospectral symplectic Runge-Kutta schemes

Clauson Carvalho da Silva, Christian Lessig, Carlos Tomei

Isospectral Runge-Kutta methods are well-suited for the numerical solution of isospectral systems such as the rigid body and the Toda lattice. More recently, these integrators have…

math.DS2025

SIGGRAPH 23 Extended article: Improved Projective Dynamics Global Using Snapshots-based Reduced Bases

Shaimaa Monem, Peter Benner, Christian Lessig

We propose a snapshots-based method to compute reduction subspaces for physics-based simulations. Our method is applicable to any mesh with some artistic prior knowledge of the sol…

cs.LG2024★ 1 cited

ArchesWeather & ArchesWeatherGen: a deterministic and generative model for efficient ML weather forecasting

Guillaume Couairon, Renu Singh, Anastase Charantonis +2

Weather forecasting plays a vital role in today's society, from agriculture and logistics to predicting the output of renewable energies, and preparing for extreme weather events.…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 3 cited

Robustness of AI-based weather forecasts in a changing climate

Thomas Rackow, Nikolay Koldunov, Christian Lessig +9

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 1 cited

Machine Learning for the Physics of Climate

Annalisa Bracco, Julien Brajard, Henk A. Dijkstra +3

An exponential growth in computing power, which has brought more sophisticated and higher resolution simulations of the climate system, and an exponential increase in observations…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 5 cited

Data driven weather forecasts trained and initialised directly from observations

Anthony McNally, Christian Lessig, Peter Lean +11

Skilful Machine Learned weather forecasts have challenged our approach to numerical weather prediction, demonstrating competitive performance compared to traditional physics-based…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 3 cited

Emerging AI-based weather prediction models as downscaling tools

Nikolay Koldunov, Thomas Rackow, Christian Lessig +5

The demand for high-resolution information on climate change is critical for accurate projections and decision-making. Presently, this need is addressed through high-resolution cli…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 75 cited

AIFS -- ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system

Simon Lang, Mihai Alexe, Matthew Chantry +13

Machine learning-based weather forecasting models have quickly emerged as a promising methodology for accurate medium-range global weather forecasting. Here, we introduce the Artif…

cs.LG2024★ 4 cited

ArchesWeather: An efficient AI weather forecasting model at 1.5° resolution

Guillaume Couairon, Christian Lessig, Anastase Charantonis +1

One of the guiding principles for designing AI-based weather forecasting systems is to embed physical constraints as inductive priors in the neural network architecture. A popular…

math.NA2024★ 1 cited

An adaptive finite element multigrid solver using GPU acceleration

Manuel Liebchen, Robert Jendersie, Utku Kaya +2

Adaptive finite elements combined with geometric multigrid solvers are one of the most efficient numerical methods for problems such as the instationary Navier-Stokes equations. Ye…

cs.DC2024

Towards a GPU-Parallelization of the neXtSIM-DG Dynamical Core

Robert Jendersie, Christian Lessig, Thomas Richter

The cryosphere plays a significant role in Earth's climate system. Therefore, an accurate simulation of sea ice is of great importance to improve climate projections. To enable hig…

physics.ao-ph2023★ 21 cited

AtmoRep: A stochastic model of atmosphere dynamics using large scale representation learning

Christian Lessig, Ilaria Luise, Bing Gong +3

The atmosphere affects humans in a multitude of ways, from loss of life due to adverse weather effects to long-term social and economic impacts on societies. Computer simulations o…

math.NA2023★ 19 cited

DNN-MG: A Hybrid Neural Network/Finite Element Method with Applications to 3D Simulations of the Navier-Stokes Equations

Nils Margenberg, Robert Jendersie, Christian Lessig +1

We extend and analyze the deep neural network multigrid solver (DNN-MG) for the Navier-Stokes equations in three dimensions. The idea of the method is to augment a finite element s…

cs.LG2022★ 11 cited

A Multi-Scale Deep Learning Framework for Projecting Weather Extremes

Antoine Blanchard, Nishant Parashar, Boyko Dodov +2

Weather extremes are a major societal and economic hazard, claiming thousands of lives and causing billions of dollars in damage every year. Under climate change, their impact and…

physics.ao-ph2022★ 1 cited

AtmoDist: Self-supervised Representation Learning for Atmospheric Dynamics

Sebastian Hoffmann, Christian Lessig

Representation learning has proven to be a powerful methodology in a wide variety of machine learning applications. For atmospheric dynamics, however, it has so far not been consid…