60 citations · 60 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Calculation of Epidemic First Passage and Peak Time Probability Distributions
Jacob Curran-Sebastian, Lorenzo Pellis, Ian Hall +1
Understanding the timing of the peak of a disease outbreak forms an important part of epidemic forecasting. In many cases, such information is essential for planning increased hosp…
Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example
Christopher E. Overton, Helena B. Stage, Shazaad Ahmad +16
During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and desig…
Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions
Lorenzo Pellis, Francesca Scarabel, Helena B. Stage +14
Early assessments of the spreading rate of COVID-19 were subject to significant uncertainty, as expected with limited data and difficulties in case ascertainment, but more reliable…