60 citations · 126 across the 12 of their papers we have counts for
13 papers
Real-time COVID-19 hospital admissions forecasting with leading indicators and ensemble methods in England
Jonathon Mellor, Rachel Christie, Robert S Paton +6
Hospitalisations from COVID-19 with Omicron sub-lineages have put a sustained pressure on the English healthcare system. Understanding the expected healthcare demand enables more e…
Quantifying the risk of workplace COVID-19 clusters in terms of commuter, workplace, and population characteristics
Christopher E. Overton, Rachel Abbey, Tarrion Baird +12
Objectives: To identify and quantify risk factors that contribute to clusters of COVID-19 in the workplace. Methods: We identified clusters of COVID-19 cases in the workplace and i…
Deterministic epidemic models overestimate the basic reproduction number of observed outbreaks
Wajid Ali, Christopher E. Overton, Robert R. Wilkinson +1
The basic reproduction number, , is a well-known quantifier of epidemic spread. However, a class of existing methods for estimating from incidence data early in the epid…
Understanding the leading indicators of hospital admissions from COVID-19 across successive waves in the UK
Jonathon Mellor, Christopher E Overton, Martyn Fyles +4
Following the UK Government's Living with COVID-19 Strategy and the end of universal testing, hospital admissions are an increasingly important measure of COVID-19 pandemic pressur…
Forecasting influenza hospital admissions within English sub-regions using hierarchical generalised additive models
Jonathon Mellor, Rachel Christie, Christopher E Overton +5
Background: Seasonal influenza causes a substantial burden on healthcare services over the winter period when these systems are already under pressure. Policies during the COVID-19…
Nowcasting the 2022 mpox outbreak in England
Christopher E. Overton, Sam Abbott, Rachel Christie +6
In May 2022, a cluster of mpox cases were detected in the UK that could not be traced to recent travel history from an endemic region. Over the coming months, the outbreak grew, wi…