2 papers
math.ST2025
Data Models With Two Manifestations of Imprecision
Christian Fröhlich, Robert C. Williamson
Motivated by recently emerging problems in machine learning and statistics, we propose data models which relax the familiar i.i.d. assumption. In essence, we seek to understand wha…
cs.LG2024
Scoring Rules and Calibration for Imprecise Probabilities
Christian Fröhlich, Robert C. Williamson
What does it mean to say that, for example, the probability for rain tomorrow is between 20% and 30%? The theory for the evaluation of precise probabilistic forecasts is well-devel…