214 citations · 454 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for
18 papers
Charged Deformation of a Hairy Black Brane: Perturbative Solution and Thermodynamics
Sangheon Yun
We study electrically charged black branes in four-dimensional Einstein-Maxwell-scalar theory with Maxwell coupling , whose potential has an AdS fixed point…
From trends to optimized forecasts: Quantifying the skill and advancing the utility of dynamics-based early warnings for tipping events
Franco Du Plessis, Victoria Volodina, Chris A. Boulton +5
In this paper we explore and extend the state of the art for understanding the skill and utility of early warnings of critical transitions (tipping points) in forced nonlinear syst…
Implications of regional variations in climate change vulnerability and mitigation behaviour for social-climate dynamics
Amrita Punnavajhala, Timothy M. Lenton, Chris T. Bauch +1
How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified acr…
Biosignatures from pre-oxygen photosynthesising life on TRAPPIST-1e
Jake K. Eager-Nash, Stuart J. Daines, James W. McDermott +13
In order to assess observational evidence for potential atmospheric biosignatures on exoplanets, it will be essential to test whether spectral fingerprints from multiple gases can…
Global Inequality in Cooling from Urban Green Spaces and its Climate Change Adaptation Potential
Yuxiang Li, Jens-Christian Svenning, Weiqi Zhou +6
Heat extremes are projected to severely impact humanity and with increasing geographic disparities. Global South countries are more exposed to heat extremes and have reduced adapta…
3D climate simulations of the Archean find that methane has a strong cooling effect at high concentrations
Jake K. Eager-Nash, Nathan J. Mayne, Arwen E. Nicholson +11
Methane is thought to have been an important greenhouse gas during the Archean, although its potential warming has been found to be limited at high concentrations due to its high s…
Predicting biosignatures for nutrient limited biospheres
A. E. Nicholson, S. J. Daines, N. J. Mayne +3
With the characterisations of potentially habitable planetary atmospheres on the horizon, the search for biosignatures is set to become a major area of research in the coming decad…
Universal Early Warning Signals of Phase Transitions in Climate Systems
Daniel Dylewsky, Timothy M. Lenton, Marten Scheffer +4
The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of the…
Economists' erroneous estimates of damages from climate change
Stephen Keen, Timothy M. Lenton, Antoine Godin +3
Economists have predicted that damages from global warming will be as low as 2.1% of global economic production for a 3C rise in global average surface temperature, and 7.9…
Quantification and interpretation of the climate variability record
Anna S. von der Heydt, Peter Ashwin, Charles D. Camp +4
The spectral view of variability is a compelling and adaptable tool for understanding variability of the climate. In Mitchell (1976) seminal paper, it was used to express, on one g…
Social tipping processes for sustainability: An analytical framework
Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, E. Keith Smith +7
Societal transformations are necessary to address critical global challenges, such as mitigation of anthropogenic climate change and reaching UN sustainable development goals. Rece…
Signatures consistent with multi-frequency tipping in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
Andrew Keane, Bernd Krauskopf, Timothy M. Lenton
The early detection of tipping points, which describe a rapid departure from a stable state, is an important theoretical and practical challenge. Tipping points are most commonly a…
Implications of different stellar spectra for the climate of tidally-locked Earth-like exoplanets
Jake K. Eager, David J. Reichelt, Nathan J. Mayne +7
The majority of potentially habitable exoplanets detected orbit stars cooler than the Sun, and therefore are irradiated by a stellar spectrum peaking at longer wavelengths than tha…
Gaian bottlenecks and planetary habitability maintained by evolving model biospheres: The ExoGaia model
Arwen E. Nicholson, David M. Wilkinson, Hywel T. P. Williams +1
The search for habitable exoplanets inspires the question - how do habitable planets form? Planet habitability models traditionally focus on abiotic processes and neglect a biotic…
The Mid-Pleistocene Transition induced by delayed feedback and bistability
Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S. von der Heydt +1
The Mid-Pleistocene Transition, the shift from 41 kyr to 100 kyr glacial-interglacial cycles that occurred roughly 1 Myr ago, is often considered as a change in internal climate dy…
Trends in sea-ice variability on the way to an ice-free Arctic
Sebastian Bathiany, Bregje van der Bolt, Mark S. Williamson +4
It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a s…
Forecasting the underlying potential governing the time series of a dynamical system
V. N. Livina, G. Lohmann, M. Mudelsee +1
We introduce a technique of time series analysis, potential forecasting, which is based on dynamical propagation of the probability density of time series. We employ polynomial coe…
A recent tipping point in the Arctic sea-ice cover: abrupt and persistent increase in the seasonal cycle since 2007
Valerie N. Livina, Timothy M. Lenton
There is ongoing debate over whether Arctic sea-ice has already passed a `tipping point', or whether it will do so in the future. Several recent studies argue that the loss of summ…