activity
20192026
most citedTail Measures and Regular Variation

8 citations · 14 across the 28 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

37 papers

math.ST2026

Survival Isotonic Distributional Regression

Martin Bladt, Alexander Henzi, Bram van den Heuvel +1

We introduce Survival-IDR (S-IDR), a nonparametric estimator of conditional survival distributions under order restrictions, extending Isotonic Distributional Regression (IDR; Henz…

math.ST2026

Local estimation of transition rates of jump processes through discretization

Martin Bladt, Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the pa…

stat.ME2026

Cure models: from mixture to matrix distributions

Martin Bladt, Jorge Yslas

Cure rate models address survival data in which a proportion of individuals will never experience the event of interest. Existing parametric approaches are predominantly based on f…

math.ST2025

Assessing continuous common-shock risk through matrix distributions

Martin Bladt, Oscar Peralta, Jorge Yslas

We introduce a class of continuous-time bivariate phase-type distributions for modeling dependencies from common shocks. The construction uses continuous-time Markov processes that…

math.ST2025

Non-parametric cure models through extreme-value tail estimation

Jan Beirlant, Martin Bladt, Ingrid Van Keilegom

In survival analysis, the estimation of the proportion of subjects who will never experience the event of interest, termed the cure rate, has received considerable attention recent…

math.ST2025★ 1 cited

Modeling discrete common-shock risks through matrix distributions

Martin Bladt, Eric C. K. Cheung, Oscar Peralta +1

We introduce a novel class of bivariate common-shock discrete phase-type (CDPH) distributions to describe dependencies in loss modeling, with an emphasis on those induced by common…

stat.ME2024

Censored and extreme losses: functional convergence and applications to tail goodness-of-fit

Martin Bladt, Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

This paper establishes the functional convergence of the Extreme Nelson--Aalen and Extreme Kaplan--Meier estimators, which are designed to capture the heavy-tailed behaviour of cen…

math.ST2024

Uniform Consistency of Generalized Fréchet Means

Andrea Aveni, Martin Bladt, Sayan Mukherjee

Loss-based notions of centre on nonlinear spaces range from the Fréchet mean and power means to the geometric median and, in a limiting sense, the Chebyshev centre. To use such sum…

math.ST2024

Heterogeneous extremes in the presence of random covariates and censoring

Martin Bladt, Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

The task of analyzing extreme events with censoring effects is considered under a framework allowing for random covariate information. A wide class of estimators that can be cast a…

stat.ME2024

Extremile scalar-on-function regression

Maria Laura Battagliola, Martin Bladt

Extremiles provide a generalization of quantiles which are not only robust, but also have an intrinsic link with extreme value theory. This paper introduces an extremile regression…

math.ST2023

Censored extreme value estimation

Martin Bladt, Igor Rodionov

A novel and comprehensive methodology designed to tackle the challenges posed by extreme values in the context of random censorship is introduced. The main focus is on the analysis…

math.PR2023

Approximations of semi-Markov processes and insurance policy valuation

Martin Bladt, Andreea Minca, Oscar Peralta

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximat…

stat.AP2023

Individual claims reserving using the Aalen--Johansen estimator

Martin Bladt, Gabriele Pittarello

We propose an individual claims reserving model based on the conditional Aalen-Johansen estimator, as developed in Bladt and Furrer (2023b). In our approach, we formulate a multi-s…

math.ST2023

Conditional Aalen--Johansen estimation

Martin Bladt, Christian Furrer

The conditional Aalen--Johansen estimator, a general-purpose non-parametric estimator of conditional state occupation probabilities, is introduced. The estimator is applicable for…

stat.ME2022

Joint discrete and continuous matrix distribution modelling

Martin Bladt, Clara Brimnes Gardner

In this paper we introduce a bivariate distribution on arising from a single underlying Markov jump process. The marginal distributions are phase…

stat.ME2022

Expert Kaplan--Meier estimation

Martin Bladt, Christian Furrer

The setting of a right-censored random sample subject to contamination is considered. In various fields, expert information is often available and used to overcome the contaminatio…

stat.ME2022

Informed censoring: the parametric combination of data and expert information

Hansjörg Albrecher, Martin Bladt

The statistical censoring setup is extended to the situation when random measures can be assigned to the realization of datapoints, leading to a new way of incorporating expert inf…

math.PR2022

Strongly convergent homogeneous approximations to inhomogeneous Markov jump processes and applications

Martin Bladt, Oscar Peralta

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. Ho…

stat.AP2021

Phase-type distributions for claim severity regression modeling

Martin Bladt

This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not un…

math.ST2021

Phase-type mixture-of-experts regression for loss severities

Martin Bladt, Jorge Yslas

The task of modeling claim severities is addressed when data is not consistent with the classical regression assumptions. This framework is common in several lines of business with…

math.PR2021

Fractional Inhomogeneous Multi-state Models in Life Insurance

Martin Bladt

In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commu…

math.PR2021★ 1 cited

A tractable class of multivariate phase-type distributions for loss modeling

Martin Bladt

Phase-type (PH) distributions are a popular tool for the analysis of univariate risks in numerous actuarial applications. Their multivariate counterparts (MPH), however, hav…

stat.ME2021

Time series models with infinite-order partial copula dependence

Martin Bladt, Alexander J. McNeil

Stationary and ergodic time series can be constructed using an s-vine decomposition based on sets of bivariate copula functions. The extension of such processes to infinite copula…

math.ST2021

Heavy-tailed phase-type distributions: A unified approach

Martin Bladt, Jorge Yslas

A phase-type distribution is the distribution of the time until absorption in a finite state-space time-homogeneous Markov jump process, with one absorbing state and the rest being…