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20202023
most citedEfficient Calibration of Multi-Agent Simulation Models from Output Series with Bayesian Optimization

9 citations · 24 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2021Show all

5 papers · 1 filter

q-fin.ST2021★ 9 cited

Efficient Calibration of Multi-Agent Simulation Models from Output Series with Bayesian Optimization

Yuanlu Bai, Henry Lam, Svitlana Vyetrenko +1

Multi-agent simulation is commonly used across multiple disciplines, specifically in artificial intelligence in recent years, which creates an environment for downstream machine le…

stat.ME2021

Certifiable Deep Importance Sampling for Rare-Event Simulation of Black-Box Systems

Mansur Arief, Yuanlu Bai, Wenhao Ding +4

Rare-event simulation techniques, such as importance sampling (IS), constitute powerful tools to speed up challenging estimation of rare catastrophic events. These techniques often…

math.ST2021★ 1 cited

Over-Conservativeness of Variance-Based Efficiency Criteria and Probabilistic Efficiency in Rare-Event Simulation

Yuanlu Bai, Zhiyuan Huang, Henry Lam +1

In rare-event simulation, an importance sampling (IS) estimator is regarded as efficient if its relative error, namely the ratio between its standard deviation and mean, is suffici…

stat.ME2021

Calibrating Over-Parametrized Simulation Models: A Framework via Eligibility Set

Yuanlu Bai, Tucker Balch, Haoxian Chen +3

Stochastic simulation aims to compute output performance for complex models that lack analytical tractability. To ensure accurate prediction, the model needs to be calibrated and v…

stat.ME2021★ 6 cited

Model Calibration via Distributionally Robust Optimization: On the NASA Langley Uncertainty Quantification Challenge

Yuanlu Bai, Zhiyuan Huang, Henry Lam

We study a methodology to tackle the NASA Langley Uncertainty Quantification Challenge, a model calibration problem under both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. Our methodology…