activity
20202026
most citedEstimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in European countries: technical description update

84 citations · 98 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

math.PR2026

Selection principles for quasi-stationary distributions and reinforcement processes

Michel Benaïm, Tresnia Berah, Pierre Germain

Let be a sub-Markov matrix on a finite set , representing the transition probabilities of a Markov chain on \(S\) absorbed at a cemetery point . We conside…

math.PR2025

Strong law of large numbers and L log L condition for supercritical branching processes

Vincent Bansaye, Tresnia Berah, Bertrand Cloez

We consider branching processes for structured populations: each individual is characterized by a type or trait which belongs to a general measurable state space. We focus on the s…

q-bio.PE2021★ 4 cited

Unifying incidence and prevalence under a time-varying general branching process

Mikko S. Pakkanen, Xenia Miscouridou, Matthew J. Penn +5

Renewal equations are a popular approach used in modelling the number of new infections, i.e., incidence, in an outbreak. We develop a stochastic model of an outbreak based on a ti…

q-bio.PE2020★ 10 cited

On the derivation of the renewal equation from an age-dependent branching process: an epidemic modelling perspective

Swapnil Mishra, Tresnia Berah, Thomas A. Mellan +6

Renewal processes are a popular approach used in modelling infectious disease outbreaks. In a renewal process, previous infections give rise to future infections. However, while th…

stat.AP2020★ 84 cited

Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in European countries: technical description update

Seth Flaxman, Swapnil Mishra, Axel Gandy +20

Following the emergence of a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and its spread outside of China, Europe has experienced large epidemics. In response, many European countries have imple…