3 papers
math.ST2025
Rao-Blackwellized e-variables
Dante de Roos, Ben Chugg, Peter Grünwald +1
We show that for any concave utility, the expected utility of an e-variable can only increase after conditioning on a sufficient statistic. The simplest form of the result has an e…
math.ST2025
On admissibility in post-hoc hypothesis testing
Ben Chugg, Tyron Lardy, Aaditya Ramdas +1
The validity of classical hypothesis testing requires the significance level be fixed before any statistical analysis takes place. This is a stringent requirement. For instance…
q-bio.PE2020
A universal generic description of the dynamics of the current COVID-19 pandemic
Heinrich Stolz, Dirk Semkat, Peter Grünwald
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is challenging every part of society. From a scientific point of view the first major task is to predict the dynamics of the pandemic, allowing govern…