activity
20182026
most citedDemystifying statistical learning based on efficient influence functions

92 citations · 110 across the 23 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

25 papers

stat.ME2026

Difference-in-Differences for Heterogeneous Effects of General Treatment Strategies Accounting for Time-Varying Covariates

Oliver Dukes, Zach Shahn, James Robins +1

We introduce a class of marginal Structural Nested Mean Models (mSNMMs) that enable modeling time-varying effect modification by a subset of covariates required as adjustment varia…

stat.ME2026

Order Dependence in Regression by Composition: Discussion on "Regression by Composition'' by Farewell, Daniel, Stensrud, and Huitfeldt

Mei Dong, Linbo Wang, Lin Liu +1

We discuss the regression-by-composition framework of Farewell, Daniel, Stensrud and Huitfeldt, highlighting a key consequence of its sequential construction: order dependence. Reo…

stat.OT2026

A Parameter-Centric View on Regression

Jingxin Yan, Lin Liu, Oliver Dukes +2

Discussion on ``Regression by Composition'' by Farewell, Daniel, Stensrud, and Huitfeldt

stat.OT2026

Toward Variation-Independent Regression by Composition

Ruixuan Zhao, Oliver Dukes, Linbo Wang +1

Discussion on "Regression by Composition" by Farewell, Daniel, Stensrud, and Huitfeldt.

stat.ME2026

Efficient estimation of cumulative incidence curves via data fusion with surrogates: application to integrated analysis of vaccine trial and immunobridging data

Pan Zhao, Peter B. Gilbert, Oliver Dukes +1

Refined vaccine regimens containing variant-matched inserts are often authorized based on historical phase 3 efficacy trials together with immunobridging studies. Phase 3 trials ar…

stat.ME2026

On estimands in target trial emulation

Edoardo Efrem Gervasoni, Liesbet De Bus, Stijn Vansteelandt +1

The target trial framework enables causal inference from longitudinal observational data by emulating randomized trials initiated at multiple time points. Precision is often improv…

stat.ME2025

Using causal diagrams to assess parallel trends in difference-in-differences studies

Audrey Renson, Oliver Dukes, Zach Shahn

Difference-in-differences (DID) is popular because it can allow for unmeasured confounding when the key assumption of parallel trends holds. However, there exists little guidance o…

stat.ME2024

Nonparametric tests of treatment effect homogeneity for policy-makers

Oliver Dukes, Mats J. Stensrud, Riccardo Brioschi +1

Recent work has focused on nonparametric estimation of conditional treatment effects, but inference has remained relatively unexplored. We propose a class of nonparametric tests fo…

stat.ME2024

Doubly-robust inference and optimality in structure-agnostic models with smoothness

Matteo Bonvini, Edward H. Kennedy, Oliver Dukes +1

We study the problem of constructing an estimator of the average treatment effect (ATE) with observational data. The celebrated doubly-robust, augmented-IPW (AIPW) estimator genera…

stat.ME2024

Nested Instrumental Variables Analysis: Switcher Average Treatment Effect, Identification, Efficient Estimation and Generalizability

Rui Wang, Ying-Qi Zhao, Oliver Dukes +1

Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects from non-randomized data. A canonical example is a randomized trial with noncompliance, in which the randomi…

stat.ME2023★ 3 cited

The Use of Covariate Adjustment in Randomized Controlled Trials: An Overview

Kelly Van Lancker, Frank Bretz, Oliver Dukes

There has been a growing interest in covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized controlled trials in past years. For instance, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recentl…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

Augmented balancing weights as linear regression

David Bruns-Smith, Oliver Dukes, Avi Feller +1

We provide a novel characterization of augmented balancing weights, also known as automatic debiased machine learning (AutoDML). These popular doubly robust or de-biased machine le…

stat.ME2023

Generalizing the intention-to-treat effect of an active control against placebo from historical placebo-controlled trials to an active-controlled trial: A case study of the efficacy of daily oral TDF/FTC in the HPTN 084 study

Qijia He, Fei Gao, Oliver Dukes +2

In many clinical settings, an active-controlled trial design (e.g., a non-inferiority or superiority design) is often used to compare an experimental medicine to an active control…

stat.ME2022★ 1 cited

Reconciling model-X and doubly robust approaches to conditional independence testing

Ziang Niu, Abhinav Chakraborty, Oliver Dukes +1

Model-X approaches to testing conditional independence between a predictor and an outcome variable given a vector of covariates usually assume exact knowledge of the conditional di…

stat.ME2022

Alternative approaches for analysing repeated measures data that are missing not at random

Oliver Dukes, David Richardson, Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We consider studies where multiple measures on an outcome variable are collected over time, but some subjects drop out before the end of follow up. Analyses of such data often proc…

stat.ME2022★ 2 cited

Structural Nested Mean Models Under Parallel Trends Assumptions

Zach Shahn, Oliver Dukes, Meghana Shamsunder +3

We link and extend two approaches to estimating time-varying treatment effects on repeated continuous outcomes--time-varying Difference in Differences (DiD; see Roth et al. (2023)…

stat.ME2021

Ensuring valid inference for hazard ratios after variable selection

Kelly Van Lancker, Oliver Dukes, Stijn Vansteelandt

The problem of how to best select variables for confounding adjustment forms one of the key challenges in the evaluation of exposure effects in observational studies, and has been…

stat.ME2021

Translating questions to estimands in randomized clinical trials with intercurrent events

Mats J. Stensrud, Oliver Dukes

Intercurrent (post-treatment) events occur frequently in randomized trials, and investigators often express interest in treatment effects that suitably take account of these events…

stat.ME2021★ 3 cited

Proximal mediation analysis

Oliver Dukes, Ilya Shpitser, Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

A common concern when trying to draw causal inferences from observational data is that the measured covariates are insufficiently rich to account for all sources of confounding. In…

stat.ME2021★ 3 cited

On Doubly Robust Inference for Double Machine Learning in Semiparametric Regression

Oliver Dukes, Stijn Vansteelandt, David Whitney

Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on a…

math.ST2021★ 92 cited

Demystifying statistical learning based on efficient influence functions

Oliver Hines, Oliver Dukes, Karla Diaz-Ordaz +1

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adap…

stat.ME2020

Principled Selection of Baseline Covariates to Account for Censoring in Randomized Trials with a Survival Endpoint

Kelly Van Lancker, Oliver Dukes, Stijn Vansteelandt

The analysis of randomized trials with time-to-event endpoints is nearly always plagued by the problem of censoring. As the censoring mechanism is usually unknown, analyses typical…

stat.ME2020★ 3 cited

Assumption-lean inference for generalised linear model parameters

Stijn Vansteelandt, Oliver Dukes

Inference for the parameters indexing generalised linear models is routinely based on the assumption that the model is correct and a priori specified. This is unsatisfactory becaus…

stat.ME2019★ 2 cited

Uniformly valid confidence intervals for conditional treatment effects in misspecified high-dimensional models

Oliver Dukes, Stijn Vansteelandt

Eliminating the effect of confounding in observational studies typically involves fitting a model for an outcome adjusted for covariates. When, as often, these covariates are high-…