activity
20122026
collaborators

12 papers

math.ST2026

Central limit theory for serial tail dependence estimators in heavy-tailed long memory linear time series

Ioan Scheffel, Marco Oesting, Gilles Stupfler

We prove multiple central limit theorems for serial tail dependence estimators in heavy-tailed long memory linear time series. The main theoretical tools are two novel multivariate…

math.ST2026

Regularized geometric quantiles and universal linear distribution functionals

Dimitri Konen, Gilles Stupfler

Geometric quantiles are popular location functionals to build rank-based statistical procedures in multivariate settings. They are obtained through the minimization of a non-smooth…

math.PR2025

Central limit theory for Peaks-over-Threshold partial sums of long memory linear time series

Ioan Scheffel, Marco Oesting, Gilles Stupfler

Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied prob…

q-fin.RM2024

Asymptotic Properties of Generalized Shortfall Risk Measures for Heavy-tailed Risks

Tiantian Mao, Gilles Stupfler, Fan Yang

We study a general risk measure called the generalized shortfall risk measure, which was first introduced in Mao and Cai (2018). It is proposed under the rank-dependent expected ut…

math.ST2022

Extreme expectile estimation for short-tailed data, with an application to market risk assessment

Abdelaati Daouia, Simone A. Padoan, Gilles Stupfler

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicit…

math.ST2021

Optimal pooling and distributed inference for the tail index and extreme quantiles

Abdelaati Daouia, Simone A. Padoan, Gilles Stupfler

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we…

stat.AP2021

GARCH-UGH: A bias-reduced approach for dynamic extreme Value-at-Risk estimation in financial time series

Hibiki Kaibuchi, Yoshinori Kawasaki, Gilles Stupfler

The Value-at-Risk (VaR) is a widely used instrument in financial risk management. The question of estimating the VaR of loss return distributions at extreme levels is an important…

stat.ME2020

Joint inference on extreme expectiles for multivariate heavy-tailed distributions

Simone A. Padoan, Gilles Stupfler

The notion of expectiles, originally introduced in the context of testing for homoscedasticity and conditional symmetry of the error distribution in linear regression, induces a la…

stat.ME2020

Tail risk inference via expectiles in heavy-tailed time series

Anthony C. Davison, Simone A. Padoan, Gilles Stupfler

Expectiles define the only law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure apart from the expectation. The popularity of expectile-based risk measures is steadily growing and t…

math.PR2018

On a class of norms generated by nonnegative integrable distributions

Michael Falk, Gilles Stupfler

We show that any distribution function on with nonnegative, nonzero and integrable marginal distributions can be characterized by a norm on , calle…

math.PR2016

An Offspring of Multivariate Extreme-Value Theory: The Max-Characteristic Function

Michael Falk, Gilles Stupfler

This paper introduces max-characteristic functions (max-CFs), which are an offspring of multivariate extreme-value theory. A max-CF characterizes the distribution of a random vecto…

math.ST2012

Uniform strong consistency of a frontier estimator using kernel regression on high order moments

Stephane Girard, Armelle Guillou, Gilles Stupfler

We consider the high order moments estimator of the frontier of a random pair introduced by Girard, S., Guillou, A., Stupfler, G. (2012). {\it Frontier estimation with kernel regre…