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math.DS2020
The Role of Stochasticity in Noise-Induced Tipping Point Cascades: A Master Equation Approach
Abhishek Mallela, Alan Hastings
Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through sy…
q-bio.PE2020
Daily Forecasting of New Cases for Regional Epidemics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification
Yen Ting Lin, Jacob Neumann, Ely Miller +7
To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policy-making, we formulated two types of mathematical models for COVID-19 transmission within a regional population. O…