138 citations · 148 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
A decision-theoretic framework for uncertainty quantification in epidemiological modelling
Nicholas Steyn, Freddie Bickford Smith, Cathal Mills +3
Estimating, understanding, and communicating uncertainty is fundamental to statistical epidemiology, where model-based estimates regularly inform real-world decisions. However, sou…
Fundamental limits on taming infectious disease epidemics
Giovanni Pugliese Carratelli, Xiaodong Cheng, Kris V. Parag +1
Epidemic control frequently relies on adjusting interventions based on prevalence. But designing such policies is a highly non-trivial problem due to uncertain intervention effects…
Renewal equations for vector-borne diseases
Cathal Mills, Tarek Alrefae, William S. Hart +5
During infectious disease outbreaks, estimates of time-varying pathogen transmissibility, such as the instantaneous reproduction number R(t) or epidemic growth rate r(t), are used…
Key Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies
Robin N Thompson, T Deirdre Hollingsworth, Valerie Isham +40
Combinations of intense non-pharmaceutical interventions ('lockdowns') were introduced in countries worldwide to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Many governments have begun to impl…
On the derivation of the renewal equation from an age-dependent branching process: an epidemic modelling perspective
Swapnil Mishra, Tresnia Berah, Thomas A. Mellan +6
Renewal processes are a popular approach used in modelling infectious disease outbreaks. In a renewal process, previous infections give rise to future infections. However, while th…