55 citations · 293 across the 29 of their papers we have counts for
6 papers · 1 filter
Nowcasting economic and social data: when and why search engine data fails, an illustration using Google Flu Trends
Paul Ormerod, Rickard Nyman, R Alexander Bentley
Obtaining an accurate picture of the current state of the economy is particularly important to central banks and finance ministries, and of epidemics to health ministries. There is…
Predictability in an unpredictable artificial cultural market
Paul Ormerod, Kristin Glass
In social, economic and cultural situations in which the decisions of individuals are influenced directly by the decisions of others, there appears to be an inherently high level o…
Were people imitating others or exercising rational choice in on-line searches for 'swine flu'?
R. Alexander Bentley, Paul Ormerod
Two general patterns have been identified for the adoption and subsequent abandonment of ideas or products within a population. One is symmetric, so that concepts or products which…
An evolutionary model of long tailed distributions in the social sciences
R. Alexander Bentley, Paul Ormerod, Michael Batty
Studies of collective human behavior in the social sciences, often grounded in details of actions by individuals, have much to offer `social' models from the physical sciences conc…
Tradition versus fashion in consumer choice
R. Alexander Bentley, P. Ormerod
Evidence is growing that in many markets consumers select not simply on the basis of the perceived attributes of products, but their preferences are modified by the behaviour of ot…
'Binge' drinking in the UK: a social network phenomenon
Paul Ormerod, Greg Wiltshire
We analyse the recent rapid growth of 'binge' drinking in the UK. This means the consumption of large amounts of alcohol, especially by young people, leading to serious anti-social…