activity
20202026
most citedAnalysis of the COVID-19 pandemic by SIR model and machine learning technics for forecasting

47 citations · 93 across the 13 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

16 papers

math.OC2026

Economic resources, sporting efficiency and uncertainty: a stochastic optimization model of football performance in Africa

Thierno Thioune, Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye

We propose a stochastic optimization framework in which football performance is modeled as the result of an efficiency-driven production process under uncertainty. The model incorp…

eess.SY2026

Planning electric bus systems with solar photovoltaic integration using open transit data: A case study of the Dakar BRT

Jérémy Dumoulin, Cheikh Mouhamed Fadel Kebe, Babacar M. Ndiaye +3

Electrification of urban bus systems is expected to accelerate due to its clear environmental benefits. However, effective electric bus deployment requires planning tools that can…

math.NA2026

A convex numerical scheme for the Evans-Gangbo transport-density system, in one, two, and three dimensions

Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye, Diaraf Seck

We give a constructive numerical treatment of Monge's optimal transport problem in 1D, 2D, 3D, following Evans-Gangbo: the map is built from a Kantorovich potential and density…

math.OC2026

Stochastic inflows and seasonal water value at Manantali

Steeven B. Affognon, Babacar M. Ndiaye, Pierre Mendy +4

Seasonal hydropower operation requires release decisions that account for uncertain future inflows and the opportunity cost of stored water. We assess the Modelling and Optimisatio…

math.OC2026

InFlow: entropic stochastic dual dynamic programming with HJB cross-certification for seasonal energy storage

Steeven B. Affognona, Babacar M. Ndiaye, Pierre Mendy +1

Seasonal reservoir operation requires optimization methods that remain reliable under strongly periodic and uncertain inflow dynamics. We present InFlow, a verification-oriented fr…

stat.AP2026

From Daily Fluctuations to Annual Hydrological Cycles: A Wavelet-Based Analysis of Nonstationary Seasonality in Senegal River Hydropower Inflows

Steeven B. Affognon, Babacar M. Ndiaye, Pierre Mendy +1

This study presents a reproducible framework combining Fourier and wavelet analysis to examine the seasonality of daily inflows at three sites on the Senegal River (Bafing Makana,…

physics.soc-ph2024

Mobility-based Traffic Forecasting in a Multimodal Transport System

Henock M. Mboko, Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde, Babacar M. Ndiaye

We study the analysis of all the movements of the population on the basis of their mobility from one node to another, to observe, measure, and predict the impact of traffic accordi…

q-bio.PE2024

An optimal control study for a two-strain SEIR epidemic model with saturated incidence rates and treatment

Karam Allali, Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde, Babacar M. Ndiaye

This work will study an optimal control problem describing the two-strain SEIR epidemic model. The studied model is in the form of six nonlinear differential equations illustrating…

math.OC2022

The Wade Formula and the oil price fluctuation: An Optimal Control Theory approach

Pierre Mendy, Babacar M. Ndiaye, Diaraf Seck +1

By considering the Wade Formula, we propose a model to study the evolution of the oil price per barrel. Our model shows that the policy of diversification of the energy is to be su…

q-bio.PE2020★ 1 cited

Analysis of COVID-19 evolution in Senegal: impact of health care capacity

Mouhamed M. Fall, Babacar M. Ndiaye, Ousmane Seydi +1

We consider a compartmental model from which we incorporate a time-dependent health care capacity having a logistic growth. This allows us to take into account the Senegalese autho…

q-bio.PE2020★ 1 cited

Logistic growth model and modeling of factors for community case transmission

Massamba Diouf, Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye

In this article, we analyze the spread of cases resulting from community transmission of COVID-19 in Senegal in order to identify statistical associations. The identification and k…

q-bio.PE2020★ 8 cited

Visualization and machine learning for forecasting of COVID-19 in Senegal

Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye, Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde, Diaraf Seck

In this article, we give visualization and different machine learning technics for two weeks and 40 days ahead forecast based on public data. On July 15, 2020, Senegal reopened its…

q-bio.PE2020★ 5 cited

Impact of contamination factors on the COVID-19 evolution in Senegal

Vieux Medoune Ndiaye, Serigne Omar Sarr, Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye

In this article, we perform an analysis of COVID-19 on one of the South Saharan countries (hot zone), the Senegal (West Africa). Many questions remain unanswered: why the African c…

q-bio.PE2020★ 5 cited

Impact studies of nationwide measures COVID-19 anti-pandemic: compartmental model and machine learning

Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde, Coura Balde, Babacar M. Ndiaye

In this paper, we deal with the study of the impact of nationwide measures COVID-19 anti-pandemic. We drive two processes to analyze COVID-19 data considering measures. We associat…

q-bio.PE2020★ 26 cited

Comparative prediction of confirmed cases with COVID-19 pandemic by machine learning, deterministic and stochastic SIR models

Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye, Lena Tendeng, Diaraf Seck

In this paper, we propose a machine learning technics and SIR models (deterministic and stochastic cases) with numerical approximations to predict the number of cases infected with…

q-bio.PE2020★ 47 cited

Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic by SIR model and machine learning technics for forecasting

Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye, Lena Tendeng, Diaraf Seck

This work is a trial in which we propose SIR model and machine learning tools to analyze the coronavirus pandemic in the real world. Based on the public data from \cite{datahub}, w…