activity
20192023
most citedForecast Evaluation for Data Scientists: Common Pitfalls and Best Practices

7 citations · 10 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

cs.LG2023

The Energy Prediction Smart-Meter Dataset: Analysis of Previous Competitions and Beyond

Direnc Pekaslan, Jose Maria Alonso-Moral, Kasun Bandara +17

This paper presents the real-world smart-meter dataset and offers an analysis of solutions derived from the Energy Prediction Technical Challenges, focusing primarily on two key co…

cs.LG20227 cited

Forecast Evaluation for Data Scientists: Common Pitfalls and Best Practices

Hansika Hewamalage, Klaus Ackermann, Christoph Bergmeir

Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) methods are increasingly replacing traditional methods in many domains involved with important decision making activities. DL technique…

cs.LG20212 cited

A Look at the Evaluation Setup of the M5 Forecasting Competition

Hansika Hewamalage, Pablo Montero-Manso, Christoph Bergmeir +1

Forecast evaluation plays a key role in how empirical evidence shapes the development of the discipline. Domain experts are interested in error measures relevant for their decision…

cs.LG2020

Global Models for Time Series Forecasting: A Simulation Study

Hansika Hewamalage, Christoph Bergmeir, Kasun Bandara

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. Th…

cs.LG20201 cited

Improving the Accuracy of Global Forecasting Models using Time Series Data Augmentation

Kasun Bandara, Hansika Hewamalage, Yuan-Hao Liu +2

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and…

stat.AP2019

LSTM-MSNet: Leveraging Forecasts on Sets of Related Time Series with Multiple Seasonal Patterns

Kasun Bandara, Christoph Bergmeir, Hansika Hewamalage

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessa…