activity
20162026
most citedOption Pricing in Markets with Informed Traders

12 citations · 32 across the 26 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

33 papers

q-fin.PM2026

Portfolio Optimization under Heavy Tails and Asymmetric Volatility: Evidence from Taiwan-Exposed ETFs

Ting-Jung Lee, Abootaleb Shirvani, Farzana Afroz +2

Taiwan's central role in global semiconductor manufacturing exposes Taiwan-related ETFs to technology concentration, geopolitical uncertainty, and supply-chain disruptions, resulti…

q-fin.PM2026

Portfolio Optimization and Tail-Risk Analytics of Actively Managed ETFs

William W. Lamptey, Nicholas Appiah, Abootaleb Shirvani +3

This paper examines portfolio optimization and tail-risk analytics for a heterogeneous universe of actively managed investment funds. Using daily Bloomberg data for 30 funds from 4…

q-fin.MF2026

Innovative Extensions to Option Pricing: Asymmetric Brownian Motion and Random Walk Approaches

Jagdish Gnawali, Abootaleb Shirvani, Dilmi C. W. Hettiachchi-Halpe-Kankanamalage +3

Classical option pricing models, such as Bachelier and Black--Scholes--Merton, postulate symmetric Brownian diffusion, which limits their capacity to reflect empirical phenomena in…

q-fin.PR2025

Option-Implied Zero-Coupon Yields: Unifying Bond and Equity Markets

Ting-Jung Lee, W. Brent Lindquist, Svetlozar T. Rachev +1

This paper addresses a critical inconsistency in models of the term structure of interest rates (TSIR), where zero-coupon bonds are priced under risk-neutral measures distinct from…

math.OC2025

Performance and Risk Analytics of Asian Exchange-Traded Funds

Bhathiya Divelgama, Nancy Asare Nyarko, Naa Sackley Dromo Aryee +2

Investing in Asian markets through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provides investors with access to rapidly expanding economies and valuable diversification opportunities. This study…

econ.GN2025

Behavioral Probability Weighting and Portfolio Optimization under Semi-Heavy Tails

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali M. Jaffri +2

This paper develops a unified framework that integrates behavioral distortions into rational portfolio optimization by extracting implied probability weighting functions (PWFs) fro…

q-fin.RM2025

Implied Probabilities and Volatility in Credit Risk: A Merton-Based Approach with Binomial Trees

Jagdish Gnawali, Abootaleb Shirvani, Svetlozar T. Rachev

We explore credit risk pricing by modeling equity as a call option and debt as the difference between the firm's asset value and a put option, following the structural framework of…

econ.GN2025

Winners vs. Losers: Momentum-based Strategies with Intertemporal Choice for ESG Portfolios

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2

This paper introduces a state-dependent momentum framework that integrates ESG regime switching with tail-risk-aware reward-risk metrics. Using a dynamic programming approach and s…

econ.EM2025

Multivariate Affine GARCH with Heavy Tails: A Unified Framework for Portfolio Optimization and Option Valuation

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2

This paper develops and estimates a multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) model with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations that captures time-varying volatility, heavy tails, and dynamic co…

econ.EM2025

Advancing Portfolio Optimization: Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolios and Minimum Risk Rate Frameworks

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ali Jaffri +2

This study presents the Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolio (AMVP) framework and the Adaptive Minimum-Risk Rate (AMRR) metric, innovative tools designed to optimize portfolios dyna…

q-fin.PM2025

Optimizing Portfolios with Pakistan-Exposed ETFs: Risk and Performance Insight

Ali Jaffri, Abootaleb Shirvani, Ayush Jha +2

This study examines the investment landscape of Pakistan as an emerging and frontier market, focusing on implications for international investors, particularly those in the United…

q-fin.CP2024★ 2 cited

Risk-Adjusted Performance of Random Forest Models in High-Frequency Trading

Akash Deep, Abootaleb Shirvani, Chris Monico +2

Because of the theoretical challenges posed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis to technical analysis, the effectiveness of technical indicators in high-frequency trading remains in…

econ.EM2024

Beyond the Traditional VIX: A Novel Approach to Identifying Uncertainty Shocks in Financial Markets

Ayush Jha, Abootaleb Shirvani, Svetlozar T. Rachev +1

We introduce a new identification strategy for uncertainty shocks to explain macroeconomic volatility in financial markets. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX…

q-fin.TR2024

Beyond the Bid-Ask: Strategic Insights into Spread Prediction and the Global Mid-Price Phenomenon

Yifan He, Abootaleb Shirvani, Barret Shao +2

This research extends the conventional concepts of the bid--ask spread (BAS) and mid-price to include the total market order book bid--ask spread (TMOBBAS) and the global mid-price…

q-fin.CP2023

The Financial Market of Environmental Indices

Thisari K. Mahanama, Abootaleb Shirvani, Svetlozar Rachev +1

This paper introduces the concept of a global financial market for environmental indices, addressing sustainability concerns and aiming to attract institutional investors. Risk mit…

q-fin.PM2023

The Financial Market of Indices of Socioeconomic Wellbeing

Thilini V. Mahanama, Abootaleb Shirvani, Svetlozar Rachev

The financial industry should be involved in mitigating the risk of downturns in the financial wellbeing indices around the world by implementing well-developed financial tools suc…

q-fin.ST2021

Bitcoin Volatility and Intrinsic Time Using Double Subordinated Levy Processes

Abootaleb Shirvani, Stefan Mittnik, W. Brent Lindquist +1

We propose a doubly subordinated Levy process, NDIG, to model the time series properties of the cryptocurrency bitcoin. NDIG captures the skew and fat-tailed properties of bitcoin…

q-fin.MF2021

Market Complete Option Valuation using a Jarrow-Rudd Pricing Tree with Skewness and Kurtosis

Yuan Hu, Abootaleb Shirvani, W. Brent Lindquist +2

Applying the Cherny-Shiryaev-Yor invariance principle, we introduce a generalized Jarrow-Rudd (GJR) option pricing model with uncertainty driven by a skew random walk. The GJR pric…

q-fin.RM2021

Global Index on Financial Losses due to Crime in the United States

Thilini Mahanama, Abootaleb Shirvani, Svetlozar Rachev

Crime can have a volatile impact on investments. Despite the potential importance of crime rates in investments, there are no indices dedicated to evaluating the financial impact o…

q-fin.MF2020

Option Pricing Incorporating Factor Dynamics in Complete Markets

Yuan Hu, Abootaleb Shirvani, W. Brent Lindquist +2

Using the Donsker-Prokhorov invariance principle we extend the Kim-Stoyanov-Rachev-Fabozzi option pricing model to allow for variably-spaced trading instances, an important conside…

q-fin.RM2020

A Natural Disasters Index

Thilini V. Mahanama, Abootaleb Shirvani

Natural disasters, such as tornadoes, floods, and wildfire pose risks to life and property, requiring the intervention of insurance corporations. One of the most visible consequenc…

q-fin.MF2020★ 12 cited

Option Pricing in Markets with Informed Traders

Yuan Hu, Abootaleb Shirvani, Stoyan Stoyanov +3

The objective of this paper is to introduce the theory of option pricing for markets with informed traders within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. We introduce new mo…

q-fin.CP2020

Rational Finance Approach to Behavioral Option Pricing

Jiexin Dai, Abootaleb Shirvani, Frank J. Fabozzi

When pricing options, there may be different views on the instantaneous mean return of the underlying price process. According to Black (1972), where there exist heterogeneous view…

q-fin.GN2020

Choosing the Right Return Distribution and the Excess Volatility Puzzle

Abootaleb Shirvani, Frank J. Fabozzi

Proponents of behavioral finance have identified several "puzzles" in the market that are inconsistent with rational finance theory. One such puzzle is the "excess volatility puzzl…