activity
20182022
most citedNeural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx

259 citations · 491 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

q-fin.ST2022★ 101 cited

Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting

Grzegorz Marcjasz, Michał Narajewski, Rafał Weron +1

We present a novel approach to probabilistic electricity price forecasting which utilizes distributional neural networks. The model structure is based on a deep neural network that…

q-fin.ST2022★ 74 cited

Electricity Price Forecasting: The Dawn of Machine Learning

Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski, Jesus Lago, Grzegorz Marcjasz +1

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is a branch of forecasting on the interface of electrical engineering, statistics, computer science, and finance, which focuses on predicting pr…

cs.LG2021★ 259 cited

Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx

Kin G. Olivares, Cristian Challu, Grzegorz Marcjasz +2

We extend the neural basis expansion analysis (NBEATS) to incorporate exogenous factors. The resulting method, called NBEATSx, improves on a well performing deep learning model, ex…

stat.AP2020★ 4 cited

Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs

Grzegorz Marcjasz, Jesus Lago, Rafał Weron

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electr…

stat.AP2020★ 21 cited

Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark

Jesus Lago, Grzegorz Marcjasz, Bart De Schutter +1

While the field of electricity price forecasting has benefited from plenty of contributions in the last two decades, it arguably lacks a rigorous approach to evaluating new predict…

physics.soc-ph2018★ 32 cited

Think then act or act then think?

Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski, Grzegorz Marcjasz, Paul R. Nail +1

We introduce a new agent-based model of opinion dynamics in which binary opinions (yes/no) of each agent can be measured and described regarding both pre- and post-influence at bot…