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From the 1 of 7 linked papers with an AI index.

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7 papers

stat.ME2026

Spatiotemporally Consistent Multivariate Bias Correction for Climate Projections via Nested Vine Copulas

Theresa Meier, Erwan Koch, Valérie Chavez-Demoulin +1

The paper introduces GN-VBC, a multivariate bias correction method that separates deterministic spatiotemporal effects using GAMs and captures joint dependencies with nested vine c…

physics.ao-ph2026

Investigating the Robustness of Extreme Precipitation Super-Resolution Across Climates

Louise Largeau, Tom Beucler, David Leutwyler +3

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipit…

stat.ME2025

Identifiability of causal graphs under nonadditive conditionally parametric causal models

Juraj Bodik, Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Existing approaches to causal discovery often rely on restrictive modeling assumptions that limit their applicability in real-world settings, particularly when data are heavy-taile…

stat.ML2025

SEMF: Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework for Predicting Intervals

Ilia Azizi, Marc-Olivier Boldi, Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

This work introduces the Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF), a versatile and model-agnostic approach for generating prediction intervals with any ML model. SEMF e…

stat.ME2025

Structural restrictions in local causal discovery: identifying direct causes of a target variable

Juraj Bodik, Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

We consider the problem of learning a set of direct causes of a target variable from an observational joint distribution. Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that represent the…

math.PR2025

Tail asymptotics and precise large deviations for some Poisson cluster processes

Fabien Baeriswyl, Valérie Chavez-Demoulin, Olivier Wintenberger

We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the ren…