activity
20192026
most citedThe Tajima heterochronous n-coalescent: inference from heterochronously sampled molecular data

5 citations · 11 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

9 papers

stat.ME2026

Computationally efficient segmentation for non-stationary time series with oscillatory patterns

Nicolas Bianco, Lorenzo Cappello

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the proces…

stat.ME2025

A Bayesian framework for change-point detection with uncertainty quantification

Davis Berlind, Lorenzo Cappello, Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning…

math.ST2025

Bayesian Predictive Inference Beyond Martingales

Marco Battiston, Lorenzo Cappello

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the m…

stat.ME2022★ 1 cited

Bayesian variance change point detection with credible sets

Lorenzo Cappello, Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point location…

stat.AP2021

Statistical Challenges in Tracking the Evolution of SARS-CoV-2

Lorenzo Cappello, Jaehee Kim, Sifan Liu +1

Genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 has been instrumental in tracking the spread and evolution of the virus during the pandemic. The availability of SARS-CoV-2 molecular sequences i…

stat.ME2021★ 2 cited

Scalable Bayesian change point detection with spike and slab priors

Lorenzo Cappello, Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla, Julia A. Palacios

We study the use of spike and slab priors for consistent estimation of the number of change points and their locations. Leveraging recent results in the variable selection literatu…

stat.AP2020★ 3 cited

Adaptive preferential sampling in phylodynamics

Lorenzo Cappello, Julia A. Palacios

Longitudinal molecular data of rapidly evolving viruses and pathogens provide information about disease spread and complement traditional surveillance approaches based on case coun…

stat.ME2020★ 5 cited

The Tajima heterochronous n-coalescent: inference from heterochronously sampled molecular data

Lorenzo Cappello, Amandine Veber, Julia A. Palacios

The observed sequence variation at a locus informs about the evolutionary history of the sample and past population size dynamics. The Kingman coalescent is used in a generative mo…

stat.AP2019

Sequential importance sampling for multi-resolution Kingman-Tajima coalescent counting

Lorenzo Cappello, Julia A. Palacios

Statistical inference of evolutionary parameters from molecular sequence data relies on coalescent models to account for the shared genealogical ancestry of the samples. However, i…